Points
82Points expected by the market
64.28Gap
+17.72Yield
+22.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.71 | +45.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 63 | +19.58 | +52.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.58 | −40.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.71 | +45.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 38 | +10.22 | +42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 25 | +9.36 | +70.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −1.12 | −28.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Catanzaro · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Cesena · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Bari · Away27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.46 |
| M4 | Cremonese · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.91 |
| M5 | Carrarese · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.47 |
| M6 | Cosenza · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +2.08 |
| M7 | Spezia · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.46 |
| M8 | Cittadella · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.51 |
| M9 | Brescia · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.85 |
| M10 | Modena · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +5.16 |
| M11 | Juve Stabia · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +4.66 |
| M12 | Mantova · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +5.58 |
| M13 | Sudtirol · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +6.92 |
| M14 | Salernitana · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +7.95 |
| M15 | Reggiana · Away29 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +8.98 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +10.03 |
| M17 | Frosinone · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +11.20 |
| M18 | Palermo · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +12.35 |
| M19 | Pisa · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +10.91 |
| M20 | Cosenza · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +11.76 |
| M21 | Salernitana · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +13.00 |
| M22 | Sudtirol · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.90 | +13.90 |
| M23 | Spezia · Away24 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +12.64 |
| M24 | Juve Stabia · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +13.69 |
| M25 | Mantova · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +15.00 |
| M26 | Brescia · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +15.86 |
| M27 | Sampdoria · Away21 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | +15.31 |
| M28 | Pisa · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +16.70 |
| M29 | Bari · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | +15.65 |
| M30 | Cittadella · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +16.78 |
| M31 | Reggiana · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +17.95 |
| M32 | Palermo · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.44 | +16.51 |
| M33 | Modena · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +17.95 |
| M34 | Cesena · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +19.46 |
| M35 | Carrarese · Home1 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +20.63 |
| M36 | Cremonese · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +20.49 |
| M37 | Catanzaro · Home9 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | +18.80 |
| M38 | Frosinone · Home13 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +17.72 |
| Total | 82 | +17.72 | |||