Points
66Points expected by the market
61.99Gap
+4.01Yield
−6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 39 | +1.11 | −10.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +2.41 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 28 | +2.11 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.15 | +82.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.00 | −43.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.74 | −18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.14 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pisa · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.20 |
| M2 | Frosinone · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.22 |
| M3 | Cosenza · Away28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.92 |
| M4 | Cesena · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.48 |
| M5 | Cremonese · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +2.42 |
| M6 | Carrarese · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.60 |
| M7 | Sassuolo · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.52 |
| M8 | Reggiana · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.84 |
| M9 | Salernitana · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +6.59 |
| M10 | Bari · Home25 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +5.87 |
| M11 | Brescia · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +5.34 |
| M12 | Modena · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +6.82 |
| M13 | Juve Stabia · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +8.47 |
| M14 | Sudtirol · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +9.66 |
| M15 | Palermo · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +8.51 |
| M16 | Cittadella · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +9.50 |
| M17 | Sampdoria · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +9.06 |
| M18 | Catanzaro · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +10.43 |
| M19 | Mantova · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +9.33 |
| M20 | Bari · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +7.88 |
| M21 | Juve Stabia · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +7.10 |
| M22 | Carrarese · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.59 |
| M23 | Sassuolo · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +10.16 |
| M24 | Cittadella · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +11.32 |
| M25 | Palermo · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +10.54 |
| M26 | Modena · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +9.93 |
| M27 | Catanzaro · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.07 | +7.86 |
| M28 | Sudtirol · Away28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +7.01 |
| M29 | Pisa · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.18 |
| M30 | Cesena · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +7.57 |
| M31 | Brescia · Home28 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +5.58 |
| M32 | Sampdoria · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.75 |
| M33 | Mantova · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +5.97 |
| M34 | Frosinone · Away25 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +5.29 |
| M35 | Salernitana · Home1 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.39 |
| M36 | Reggiana · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +4.82 |
| M37 | Cremonese · Home9 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +3.38 |
| M38 | Cosenza · Home13 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +4.01 |
| Total | 66 | +4.01 | |||