Points
46Points expected by the market
46.61Gap
−0.61Yield
−2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.13 | −43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 30 | +2.56 | +10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −3.04 | −10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.13 | −43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +0.32 | −1.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.24 | +33.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −1.12 | +11.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Modena · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M2 | Salernitana · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.99 |
| M3 | Carrarese · Away27 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +1.50 |
| M4 | Brescia · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −0.07 |
| M5 | Reggiana · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.71 |
| M6 | Sampdoria · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.74 |
| M7 | Palermo · Home30 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.67 |
| M8 | Cosenza · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.17 |
| M9 | Pisa · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.26 |
| M10 | Catanzaro · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.26 |
| M11 | Frosinone · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.70 |
| M12 | Cesena · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.71 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.75 |
| M14 | Spezia · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.63 |
| M15 | Cremonese · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.65 |
| M16 | Juve Stabia · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.61 |
| M17 | Mantova · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −7.24 |
| M18 | Bari · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −5.21 |
| M19 | Cittadella · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −6.79 |
| M20 | Modena · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −6.79 |
| M21 | Catanzaro · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −7.30 |
| M22 | Sassuolo · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −7.97 |
| M23 | Frosinone · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −6.05 |
| M24 | Reggiana · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.44 |
| M25 | Cremonese · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.25 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −3.56 |
| M27 | Brescia · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.71 |
| M28 | Spezia · Home28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −3.56 |
| M29 | Cittadella · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.95 |
| M30 | Carrarese · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.54 |
| M31 | Mantova · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.76 |
| M32 | Cesena · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −4.09 |
| M33 | Salernitana · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.09 |
| M34 | Juve Stabia · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.59 |
| M35 | Palermo · Away1 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −1.36 |
| M36 | Cosenza · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −0.26 |
| M37 | Pisa · Away9 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.43 |
| M38 | Bari · Home13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.61 |
| Total | 46 | −0.61 | |||