Points
49Points expected by the market
46.62Gap
+2.38Yield
−7.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.60 | +27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 27 | +2.54 | +6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −2.77 | −43.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.60 | +27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.43 | +8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.15 | +18.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +2.12 | +4.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.92 | −62.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Frosinone · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Modena · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.22 |
| M3 | Monza · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.71 |
| M4 | Carrarese · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.56 |
| M5 | Virtus Entella · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.17 |
| M6 | Padova · Away30 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +4.01 |
| M7 | Mantova · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.26 |
| M8 | Juve Stabia · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.21 |
| M9 | Spezia · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.90 |
| M10 | Pescara · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.53 |
| M11 | Reggiana · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.94 |
| M12 | Cesena · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +1.06 |
| M13 | Empoli · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.39 |
| M14 | Sudtirol · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.58 |
| M15 | Venezia · Home8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +1.70 |
| M16 | Catanzaro · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.77 |
| M17 | Palermo · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.88 |
| M18 | Bari · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.68 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.45 |
| M20 | Carrarese · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.91 |
| M21 | Spezia · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.13 |
| M22 | Cesena · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.63 |
| M23 | Monza · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.97 |
| M24 | Frosinone · Home11 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.17 |
| M25 | Pescara · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.81 |
| M26 | Reggiana · Away22 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.01 |
| M27 | Juve Stabia · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.34 |
| M28 | Venezia · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −2.86 |
| M29 | Padova · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.49 |
| M30 | Virtus Entella · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.23 |
| M31 | Sudtirol · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.70 |
| M32 | Sampdoria · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.51 |
| M33 | Palermo · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.23 |
| M34 | Catanzaro · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.61 |
| M35 | Mantova · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.22 |
| M36 | Bari · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.48 |
| M37 | Empoli · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.42 |
| M38 | Modena · Home8 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.38 |
| Total | 49 | +2.38 | |||