Points
40Points expected by the market
42.35Gap
−2.35Yield
−13.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.16 | +42.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −1.82 | −20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −2.69 | −15.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.16 | +42.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −0.66 | −12.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.70 | +58.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.16 | −45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −3.39 | −30.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Venezia · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Monza · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.10 |
| M3 | Modena · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.09 |
| M4 | Palermo · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.88 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −3.34 |
| M6 | Virtus Entella · Away30 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.46 |
| M7 | Padova · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.88 |
| M8 | Reggiana · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.23 |
| M9 | Mantova · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.83 |
| M10 | Cesena · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.05 |
| M11 | Spezia · Away7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.04 |
| M12 | Frosinone · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.23 |
| M13 | Empoli · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.28 |
| M14 | Juve Stabia · Away4 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −2.18 |
| M15 | Pescara · Home8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −2.84 |
| M16 | Sudtirol · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.77 |
| M17 | Catanzaro · Home19 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.94 |
| M18 | Avellino · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −4.43 |
| M19 | Carrarese · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −5.46 |
| M20 | Juve Stabia · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.69 |
| M21 | Cesena · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −4.46 |
| M22 | Palermo · Home30 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.32 |
| M23 | Mantova · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −6.40 |
| M24 | Spezia · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.68 |
| M25 | Sudtirol · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.89 |
| M26 | Padova · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −7.93 |
| M27 | Sampdoria · Away27 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −5.75 |
| M28 | Empoli · Home4 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.99 |
| M29 | Pescara · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.13 |
| M30 | Reggiana · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −3.71 |
| M31 | Frosinone · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.40 |
| M32 | Carrarese · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.64 |
| M33 | Modena · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −3.48 |
| M34 | Monza · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.96 |
| M35 | Venezia · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −4.56 |
| M36 | Avellino · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.54 |
| M37 | Virtus Entella · Home1 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.80 |
| M38 | Catanzaro · Away8 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.35 |
| Total | 40 | −2.35 | |||