Points
44Points expected by the market
48.07Gap
−4.07Yield
−29.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.16 | −29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 30 | +0.24 | −17.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.47 | −53.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.72 | −15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +1.69 | −3.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.45 | −37.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.44 | −48.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spezia · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +2.13 |
| M2 | Padova · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.65 |
| M3 | Catanzaro · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.46 |
| M4 | Avellino · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.08 |
| M5 | Empoli · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.24 |
| M6 | Modena · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.46 |
| M7 | Juve Stabia · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.05 |
| M8 | Pescara · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.49 |
| M9 | Venezia · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.30 |
| M10 | Cesena · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.30 |
| M11 | Frosinone · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.09 |
| M12 | Sudtirol · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.20 |
| M13 | Reggiana · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.00 |
| M14 | Palermo · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −1.81 |
| M15 | Sampdoria · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.91 |
| M16 | Virtus Entella · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.48 |
| M17 | Monza · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.22 |
| M18 | Mantova · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −2.90 |
| M19 | Bari · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.57 |
| M20 | Avellino · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.27 |
| M21 | Empoli · Home23 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.78 |
| M22 | Venezia · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.23 |
| M23 | Sudtirol · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +0.75 |
| M24 | Padova · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.66 |
| M25 | Modena · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.41 |
| M26 | Monza · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.44 |
| M27 | Mantova · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.78 |
| M28 | Catanzaro · Home4 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.25 |
| M29 | Palermo · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.37 |
| M30 | Juve Stabia · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −4.40 |
| M31 | Sampdoria · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.85 |
| M32 | Bari · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.30 |
| M33 | Spezia · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.18 |
| M34 | Reggiana · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.35 |
| M35 | Pescara · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.92 |
| M36 | Frosinone · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.67 |
| M37 | Cesena · Home1 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.14 |
| M38 | Virtus Entella · Away8 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.07 |
| Total | 44 | −4.07 | |||