Points
59Points expected by the market
50.03Gap
+8.97Yield
+2.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.68 | +65.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 35 | +3.58 | −8.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.29 | −22.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.27 | +58.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.43 | −12.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +2.15 | −3.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.29 | −22.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sudtirol · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.49 |
| M2 | Spezia · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.32 |
| M3 | Carrarese · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.80 |
| M4 | Reggiana · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.99 |
| M5 | Juve Stabia · Home26 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.28 |
| M6 | Sampdoria · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −1.40 |
| M7 | Monza · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.34 |
| M8 | Padova · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −3.87 |
| M9 | Palermo · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −2.02 |
| M10 | Mantova · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.29 |
| M11 | Venezia · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.62 |
| M12 | Empoli · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.38 |
| M13 | Pescara · Home21 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.03 | −0.65 |
| M14 | Virtus Entella · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.81 |
| M15 | Modena · Away8 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | +3.05 |
| M16 | Avellino · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.24 |
| M17 | Bari · Away19 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.72 |
| M18 | Cesena · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.26 |
| M19 | Frosinone · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +6.19 |
| M20 | Venezia · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +5.48 |
| M21 | Sampdoria · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +5.02 |
| M22 | Sudtirol · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +3.94 |
| M23 | Reggiana · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.01 |
| M24 | Pescara · Away10 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.61 |
| M25 | Mantova · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +7.78 |
| M26 | Virtus Entella · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +9.56 |
| M27 | Frosinone · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +9.21 |
| M28 | Carrarese · Away4 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.22 | +8.99 |
| M29 | Empoli · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | +10.39 |
| M30 | Padova · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +11.80 |
| M31 | Cesena · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +10.54 |
| M32 | Monza · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +10.37 |
| M33 | Avellino · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +10.05 |
| M34 | Modena · Home14 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +9.62 |
| M35 | Juve Stabia · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +9.61 |
| M36 | Spezia · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +11.06 |
| M37 | Palermo · Away1 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +10.11 |
| M38 | Bari · Home8 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +8.97 |
| Total | 59 | +8.97 | |||