Points
46Points expected by the market
54.52Gap
−8.52Yield
−22.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 19 | −3.58 | −28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 23 | −3.16 | −19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.43 | −4.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.37 | −34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.11 | −23.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.79 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.06 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.43 | −4.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pescara · Away22 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Virtus Entella · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +0.86 |
| M3 | Sampdoria · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.57 |
| M4 | Venezia · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +4.56 |
| M5 | Palermo · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +4.29 |
| M6 | Frosinone · Away30 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +3.02 |
| M7 | Reggiana · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +1.04 |
| M8 | Spezia · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.92 |
| M9 | Sudtirol · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.48 |
| M10 | Carrarese · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.78 |
| M11 | Bari · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +4.32 |
| M12 | Avellino · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +5.47 |
| M13 | Monza · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +4.60 |
| M14 | Modena · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.37 |
| M15 | Padova · Away8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.77 |
| M16 | Mantova · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +6.86 |
| M17 | Juve Stabia · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +6.27 |
| M18 | Catanzaro · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +5.05 |
| M19 | Empoli · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +3.29 |
| M20 | Reggiana · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.68 |
| M21 | Bari · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +2.71 |
| M22 | Avellino · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.26 |
| M23 | Pescara · Home6 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.44 |
| M24 | Virtus Entella · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.13 |
| M25 | Venezia · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.04 |
| M26 | Spezia · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.58 |
| M27 | Empoli · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.87 |
| M28 | Monza · Home3 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.08 |
| M29 | Modena · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.99 |
| M30 | Frosinone · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.31 |
| M31 | Mantova · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.56 |
| M32 | Catanzaro · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.02 |
| M33 | Sudtirol · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.57 |
| M34 | Juve Stabia · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.76 |
| M35 | Palermo · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −5.54 |
| M36 | Sampdoria · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −6.06 |
| M37 | Carrarese · Away1 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.31 |
| M38 | Padova · Home8 May 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.21 | −8.52 |
| Total | 46 | −8.52 | |||