Points
41Points expected by the market
49.53Gap
−8.53Yield
−37.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.28 | +14.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 21 | −11.83 | −54.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.01 | −30.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.28 | +14.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −5.15 | −79.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −6.67 | −30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.01 | −30.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Padova · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.24 |
| M2 | Reggiana · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.23 |
| M3 | Spezia · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.44 |
| M4 | Pescara · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.94 |
| M5 | Carrarese · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | −2.49 |
| M6 | Monza · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Sudtirol · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.84 |
| M8 | Venezia · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.10 |
| M9 | Modena · Away24 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.00 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Home28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −2.51 |
| M11 | Virtus Entella · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.61 |
| M12 | Catanzaro · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.06 |
| M13 | Avellino · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.31 |
| M14 | Bari · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.05 |
| M15 | Palermo · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.16 |
| M16 | Juve Stabia · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.32 |
| M17 | Mantova · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.37 |
| M18 | Frosinone · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.11 |
| M19 | Cesena · Away10 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.15 |
| M20 | Sudtirol · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.69 |
| M21 | Carrarese · Away23 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.51 |
| M22 | Modena · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.63 |
| M23 | Palermo · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.40 |
| M24 | Juve Stabia · Home11 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.91 |
| M25 | Reggiana · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −3.64 |
| M26 | Frosinone · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −3.56 |
| M27 | Cesena · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.97 |
| M28 | Bari · Away4 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.44 |
| M29 | Catanzaro · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −6.55 |
| M30 | Mantova · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −7.21 |
| M31 | Spezia · Away17 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −7.49 |
| M32 | Pescara · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.38 | −6.11 |
| M33 | Sampdoria · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.31 |
| M34 | Padova · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −8.79 |
| M35 | Virtus Entella · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −9.44 |
| M36 | Venezia · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −10.01 |
| M37 | Avellino · Home1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −8.66 |
| M38 | Monza · Away8 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −8.53 |
| Total | 41 | −8.53 | |||