Points
81Points expected by the market
58.12Gap
+22.88Yield
+26.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.62 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 38 | +13.76 | +63.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 34 | +10.25 | +30.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.62 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 26 | +8.34 | +47.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +0.87 | −5.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +5.42 | +103.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 26 | +9.38 | +46.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Avellino · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Palermo · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | +1.74 |
| M3 | Padova · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.51 |
| M4 | Sudtirol · Home19 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +2.89 |
| M5 | Mantova · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.43 |
| M6 | Cesena · Home30 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.01 |
| M7 | Venezia · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +5.00 |
| M8 | Monza · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.62 |
| M9 | Sampdoria · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +3.43 |
| M10 | Virtus Entella · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.85 |
| M11 | Carrarese · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +6.53 |
| M12 | Modena · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +6.25 |
| M13 | Bari · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.72 |
| M14 | Reggiana · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +9.16 |
| M15 | Juve Stabia · Home8 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +10.61 |
| M16 | Pescara · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +11.75 |
| M17 | Spezia · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +12.99 |
| M18 | Empoli · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +12.54 |
| M19 | Catanzaro · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +13.89 |
| M20 | Monza · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +13.94 |
| M21 | Reggiana · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +15.03 |
| M22 | Virtus Entella · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +14.64 |
| M23 | Venezia · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +13.58 |
| M24 | Avellino · Away11 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +15.01 |
| M25 | Spezia · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +16.57 |
| M26 | Empoli · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +15.74 |
| M27 | Catanzaro · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +15.38 |
| M28 | Pescara · Home4 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | +14.30 |
| M29 | Sampdoria · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +15.61 |
| M30 | Cesena · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +15.19 |
| M31 | Bari · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +16.10 |
| M32 | Sudtirol · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +17.61 |
| M33 | Padova · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +18.40 |
| M34 | Palermo · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +17.89 |
| M35 | Modena · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +19.52 |
| M36 | Carrarese · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +20.48 |
| M37 | Juve Stabia · Away1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +21.90 |
| M38 | Mantova · Home8 May 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +22.88 |
| Total | 81 | +22.88 | |||