Points
51Points expected by the market
51.05Gap
−0.05Yield
−29.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.33 | −22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | −0.37 | −26.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.01 | −46.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.33 | −22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.20 | +21.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −3.57 | −56.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.04 | −37.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Virtus Entella · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.18 |
| M2 | Venezia · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.36 |
| M3 | Reggiana · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −1.06 |
| M4 | Spezia · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +0.89 |
| M5 | Catanzaro · Away26 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.50 |
| M6 | Mantova · Home30 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +1.45 |
| M7 | Carrarese · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.25 |
| M8 | Avellino · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.61 |
| M9 | Padova · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.31 |
| M10 | Modena · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.35 |
| M11 | Palermo · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.10 |
| M12 | Sampdoria · Away24 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.78 |
| M13 | Monza · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.74 |
| M14 | Bari · Home4 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.09 |
| M15 | Frosinone · Away8 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.24 |
| M16 | Empoli · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.24 |
| M17 | Cesena · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.14 |
| M18 | Sudtirol · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.52 |
| M19 | Pescara · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.57 |
| M20 | Bari · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.11 |
| M21 | Virtus Entella · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.47 |
| M22 | Reggiana · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.94 |
| M23 | Padova · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.86 | +2.07 |
| M24 | Empoli · Away11 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.90 |
| M25 | Monza · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +3.15 |
| M26 | Modena · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +2.00 |
| M27 | Avellino · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.67 |
| M28 | Sampdoria · Home4 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.17 |
| M29 | Mantova · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.12 |
| M30 | Carrarese · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.79 |
| M31 | Palermo · Away17 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.58 |
| M32 | Spezia · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.87 |
| M33 | Venezia · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.25 |
| M34 | Cesena · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.73 |
| M35 | Catanzaro · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.03 |
| M36 | Pescara · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.88 |
| M37 | Frosinone · Home1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.26 |
| M38 | Sudtirol · Away8 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.05 |
| Total | 51 | −0.05 | |||