Points
46Points expected by the market
44.05Gap
+1.95Yield
−5.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.76 | +108.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 30 | +3.25 | +19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −4.05 | −50.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.76 | +108.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.42 | +5.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.36 | +47.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.83 | +52.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 6 | −5.41 | −72.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Monza · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Pescara · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.48 |
| M3 | Virtus Entella · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.57 |
| M4 | Modena · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.65 |
| M5 | Frosinone · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.90 |
| M6 | Juve Stabia · Away30 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.62 |
| M7 | Avellino · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.59 |
| M8 | Sudtirol · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.05 |
| M9 | Bari · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.16 |
| M10 | Catanzaro · Home29 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.60 |
| M11 | Sampdoria · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −4.65 |
| M12 | Padova · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.20 |
| M13 | Spezia · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.65 |
| M14 | Venezia · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.32 |
| M15 | Reggiana · Home8 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.82 |
| M16 | Cesena · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.65 |
| M17 | Empoli · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −6.05 |
| M18 | Carrarese · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.10 |
| M19 | Palermo · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −6.10 |
| M20 | Padova · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.27 |
| M21 | Venezia · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.76 | −5.03 |
| M22 | Pescara · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −5.12 |
| M23 | Bari · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.73 |
| M24 | Reggiana · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.03 |
| M25 | Catanzaro · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.94 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.19 |
| M27 | Carrarese · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −4.54 |
| M28 | Palermo · Away4 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −5.22 |
| M29 | Juve Stabia · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.63 |
| M30 | Empoli · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −3.69 |
| M31 | Cesena · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −2.15 |
| M32 | Modena · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.92 |
| M33 | Virtus Entella · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.39 |
| M34 | Spezia · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.41 |
| M35 | Avellino · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.12 |
| M36 | Sudtirol · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.60 |
| M37 | Monza · Home1 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.12 | +2.72 |
| M38 | Frosinone · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.95 |
| Total | 46 | +1.95 | |||