Points
55Points expected by the market
61.05Gap
−6.05Yield
−18.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 40 | +1.62 | +1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −6.17 | −58.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.63 | +39.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 30 | +3.59 | +9.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.70 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.97 | −14.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.47 | −39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.63 | +39.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sampdoria · Away25 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.82 |
| M2 | Avellino · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.15 |
| M3 | Bari · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.42 |
| M4 | Mantova · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.79 |
| M5 | Pescara · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.77 |
| M6 | Carrarese · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +4.30 |
| M7 | Virtus Entella · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +5.49 |
| M8 | Palermo · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +5.36 |
| M9 | Empoli · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +6.54 |
| M10 | Reggiana · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +4.84 |
| M11 | Juve Stabia · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +6.09 |
| M12 | Frosinone · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +5.68 |
| M13 | Sudtirol · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +4.67 |
| M14 | Cesena · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +3.23 |
| M15 | Catanzaro · Home8 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +1.24 |
| M16 | Spezia · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.68 |
| M17 | Venezia · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.34 |
| M18 | Monza · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.10 |
| M19 | Padova · Away11 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.85 |
| M20 | Pescara · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.70 |
| M21 | Palermo · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.25 |
| M22 | Empoli · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.84 |
| M23 | Sampdoria · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −3.72 |
| M24 | Venezia · Away10 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −1.65 |
| M25 | Carrarese · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.65 |
| M26 | Juve Stabia · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.80 |
| M27 | Padova · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.13 | −1.33 |
| M28 | Virtus Entella · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.88 |
| M29 | Cesena · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −3.69 |
| M30 | Spezia · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.62 |
| M31 | Mantova · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −1.61 |
| M32 | Bari · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.51 |
| M33 | Sudtirol · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.96 |
| M34 | Catanzaro · Away14 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.25 |
| M35 | Frosinone · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −5.61 |
| M36 | Monza · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.33 |
| M37 | Reggiana · Home1 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −5.33 |
| M38 | Avellino · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.05 |
| Total | 55 | −6.05 | |||