Points
76Points expected by the market
66.55Gap
+9.45Yield
+8.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +4.09 | +41.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 25 | 46 | +0.91 | −7.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +5.54 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +4.09 | +41.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 30 | +5.70 | +21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.28 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 16 | −4.79 | −38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +5.82 | +84.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mantova · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.15 |
| M2 | Bari · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.71 |
| M3 | Avellino · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.91 |
| M4 | Sampdoria · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.32 |
| M5 | Padova · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.54 |
| M6 | Empoli · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.00 |
| M7 | Catanzaro · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.77 |
| M8 | Frosinone · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.90 |
| M9 | Reggiana · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +1.78 |
| M10 | Palermo · Away28 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.55 |
| M11 | Spezia · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.69 |
| M12 | Pescara · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +5.63 |
| M13 | Cesena · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +6.78 |
| M14 | Juve Stabia · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +6.14 |
| M15 | Sudtirol · Home8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | +5.11 |
| M16 | Venezia · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.03 |
| M17 | Carrarese · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +5.02 |
| M18 | Modena · Away26 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.79 |
| M19 | Virtus Entella · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +5.07 |
| M20 | Frosinone · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +4.29 |
| M21 | Pescara · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +5.05 |
| M22 | Padova · Away1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.17 |
| M23 | Avellino · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.06 |
| M24 | Sudtirol · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +6.47 |
| M25 | Juve Stabia · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +7.48 |
| M26 | Carrarese · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.79 |
| M27 | Virtus Entella · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +9.70 |
| M28 | Cesena · Away3 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +11.20 |
| M29 | Spezia · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.66 | +9.54 |
| M30 | Palermo · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +10.93 |
| M31 | Reggiana · Away17 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | +9.98 |
| M32 | Venezia · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +9.70 |
| M33 | Catanzaro · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +9.14 |
| M34 | Bari · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +9.80 |
| M35 | Sampdoria · Away17 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +11.24 |
| M36 | Modena · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +12.19 |
| M37 | Mantova · Away1 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.86 | +10.34 |
| M38 | Empoli · Home8 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | +9.45 |
| Total | 76 | +9.45 | |||