Points
46Points expected by the market
41.91Gap
+4.09Yield
+17.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.74 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 27 | +3.29 | +12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 15 | +0.06 | +24.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.74 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.73 | −5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.68 | −17.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.56 | +48.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.74 | +40.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Empoli · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.95 |
| M2 | Carrarese · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.17 |
| M3 | Frosinone · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.63 |
| M4 | Virtus Entella · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.01 |
| M5 | Monza · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.12 |
| M6 | Avellino · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Bari · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.68 |
| M8 | Catanzaro · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.15 |
| M9 | Juve Stabia · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.76 |
| M10 | Spezia · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.87 |
| M11 | Sudtirol · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.43 |
| M12 | Mantova · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.72 |
| M13 | Venezia · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.69 |
| M14 | Pescara · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.18 |
| M15 | Cesena · Home8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.26 |
| M16 | Reggiana · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.61 |
| M17 | Sampdoria · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.36 |
| M18 | Palermo · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +0.64 |
| M19 | Modena · Home11 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.68 |
| M20 | Mantova · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.16 |
| M21 | Sudtirol · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.21 |
| M22 | Monza · Home1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.64 |
| M23 | Juve Stabia · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.50 |
| M24 | Carrarese · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.24 |
| M25 | Sampdoria · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.42 |
| M26 | Bari · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.25 |
| M27 | Modena · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.36 | +2.11 |
| M28 | Spezia · Home3 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.70 |
| M29 | Avellino · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.65 |
| M30 | Catanzaro · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.48 |
| M31 | Venezia · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −0.90 |
| M32 | Palermo · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.72 |
| M33 | Frosinone · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.32 |
| M34 | Empoli · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.54 |
| M35 | Reggiana · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.86 |
| M36 | Virtus Entella · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.04 |
| M37 | Pescara · Home1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.68 |
| M38 | Cesena · Away8 May 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.40 | +4.09 |
| Total | 46 | +4.09 | |||