Points
72Points expected by the market
65.11Gap
+6.89Yield
−8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.66 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 54 | +10.46 | +17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −4.53 | −57.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.66 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 39 | +9.77 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.02 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.69 | −5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.51 | −48.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reggiana · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.95 |
| M2 | Frosinone · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | −0.07 |
| M3 | Sudtirol · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.32 |
| M4 | Bari · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.36 |
| M5 | Cesena · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +1.93 |
| M6 | Venezia · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.30 |
| M7 | Spezia · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.00 |
| M8 | Modena · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +2.45 |
| M9 | Catanzaro · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.90 |
| M10 | Monza · Home28 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.57 |
| M11 | Pescara · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.19 |
| M12 | Juve Stabia · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.25 |
| M13 | Virtus Entella · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.62 |
| M14 | Carrarese · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.54 |
| M15 | Empoli · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.97 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.04 |
| M17 | Avellino · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | +1.20 |
| M18 | Padova · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.15 |
| M19 | Mantova · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.43 |
| M20 | Spezia · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.53 |
| M21 | Modena · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.38 |
| M22 | Bari · Away30 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +3.53 |
| M23 | Empoli · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.55 |
| M24 | Sampdoria · Away10 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.48 | +4.08 |
| M25 | Virtus Entella · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +5.01 |
| M26 | Sudtirol · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +6.03 |
| M27 | Pescara · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +4.20 |
| M28 | Mantova · Home4 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +5.09 |
| M29 | Carrarese · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.50 |
| M30 | Monza · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +5.40 |
| M31 | Juve Stabia · Home17 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +4.45 |
| M32 | Padova · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +5.51 |
| M33 | Avellino · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +6.50 |
| M34 | Frosinone · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +6.29 |
| M35 | Cesena · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +7.30 |
| M36 | Reggiana · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +6.39 |
| M37 | Catanzaro · Home1 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.20 | +7.59 |
| M38 | Venezia · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +6.89 |
| Total | 72 | +6.89 | |||