Points
35Points expected by the market
41.56Gap
−6.56Yield
−48.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −0.58 | −30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −1.43 | −20.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 10 | −4.55 | −76.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −0.58 | −30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.05 | −32.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.36 | −16.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.38 | −5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 6 | −4.18 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cesena · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Mantova · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.26 |
| M3 | Venezia · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.21 |
| M4 | Empoli · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.41 |
| M5 | Modena · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.15 |
| M6 | Sudtirol · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.36 |
| M7 | Sampdoria · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.28 |
| M8 | Carrarese · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.43 |
| M9 | Virtus Entella · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.26 |
| M10 | Avellino · Home28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.58 |
| M11 | Palermo · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.15 |
| M12 | Monza · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −3.85 |
| M13 | Catanzaro · Away21 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.27 | −3.57 |
| M14 | Padova · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.78 |
| M15 | Bari · Away8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.84 |
| M16 | Frosinone · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.73 |
| M17 | Reggiana · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −4.21 |
| M18 | Spezia · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.18 |
| M19 | Juve Stabia · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −4.97 |
| M20 | Modena · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.88 |
| M21 | Monza · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.43 |
| M22 | Mantova · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.07 |
| M23 | Cesena · Away6 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −7.99 |
| M24 | Catanzaro · Home10 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −9.30 |
| M25 | Avellino · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −7.39 |
| M26 | Venezia · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −7.82 |
| M27 | Palermo · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | −5.73 |
| M28 | Frosinone · Away4 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.28 | −5.45 |
| M29 | Bari · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.01 |
| M30 | Sudtirol · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.97 |
| M31 | Virtus Entella · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −2.64 |
| M32 | Empoli · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.74 |
| M33 | Reggiana · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.24 |
| M34 | Sampdoria · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.80 |
| M35 | Carrarese · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −3.96 |
| M36 | Juve Stabia · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.52 |
| M37 | Padova · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.97 |
| M38 | Spezia · Home8 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −6.56 |
| Total | 35 | −6.56 | |||