Points
37Points expected by the market
39.63Gap
−2.63Yield
−18.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 22 | −0.46 | −0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 15 | −2.17 | −35.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +2.30 | +13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.62 | −35.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −2.76 | −38.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −2.79 | −34.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palermo · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | Empoli · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.07 |
| M3 | Juve Stabia · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.07 |
| M4 | Catanzaro · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.55 |
| M5 | Sudtirol · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.44 |
| M6 | Spezia · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.39 |
| M7 | Cesena · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.84 |
| M8 | Bari · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.50 |
| M9 | Monza · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.86 |
| M10 | Modena · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +4.86 |
| M11 | Avellino · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.73 |
| M12 | Virtus Entella · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +3.52 |
| M13 | Carrarese · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +3.59 |
| M14 | Frosinone · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.44 |
| M15 | Mantova · Away8 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +4.24 |
| M16 | Padova · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.67 |
| M17 | Pescara · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.45 |
| M18 | Sampdoria · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.52 |
| M19 | Venezia · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.20 |
| M20 | Cesena · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.28 |
| M21 | Frosinone · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.12 |
| M22 | Juve Stabia · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −2.27 |
| M23 | Catanzaro · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.08 |
| M24 | Mantova · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.45 |
| M25 | Empoli · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −1.42 |
| M26 | Avellino · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.90 |
| M27 | Spezia · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.09 |
| M28 | Sudtirol · Home3 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.08 |
| M29 | Venezia · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −1.49 |
| M30 | Bari · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.60 |
| M31 | Monza · Home17 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −2.38 |
| M32 | Virtus Entella · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.41 |
| M33 | Pescara · Home6 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.63 |
| M34 | Carrarese · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −2.80 |
| M35 | Padova · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.90 |
| M36 | Palermo · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −3.74 |
| M37 | Modena · Away1 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.49 |
| M38 | Sampdoria · Home8 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −2.63 |
| Total | 37 | −2.63 | |||