Points
44Points expected by the market
51.41Gap
−7.41Yield
−27.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.10 | −3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 23 | −6.00 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.31 | −15.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.47 | +7.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.37 | +6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 9 | −7.37 | −75.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.38 | +1.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Modena · Home25 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.51 |
| M2 | Sudtirol · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.70 |
| M3 | Cesena · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.09 |
| M4 | Monza · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.03 |
| M5 | Bari · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −5.24 |
| M6 | Catanzaro · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −5.82 |
| M7 | Pescara · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −4.61 |
| M8 | Virtus Entella · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.90 |
| M9 | Frosinone · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −6.42 |
| M10 | Empoli · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.61 |
| M11 | Mantova · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −8.28 |
| M12 | Venezia · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −9.03 |
| M13 | Juve Stabia · Home24 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.40 |
| M14 | Spezia · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −8.59 |
| M15 | Carrarese · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | −7.19 |
| M16 | Palermo · Away12 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −8.00 |
| M17 | Padova · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −8.43 |
| M18 | Reggiana · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −7.22 |
| M19 | Avellino · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −8.67 |
| M20 | Virtus Entella · Home16 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.38 |
| M21 | Catanzaro · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −9.61 |
| M22 | Spezia · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −8.20 |
| M23 | Modena · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −6.03 |
| M24 | Palermo · Home10 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.23 |
| M25 | Padova · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −5.14 |
| M26 | Mantova · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −6.58 |
| M27 | Bari · Home27 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −8.48 |
| M28 | Juve Stabia · Away4 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −8.66 |
| M29 | Frosinone · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.70 |
| M30 | Venezia · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −9.63 |
| M31 | Carrarese · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.85 |
| M32 | Avellino · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −9.33 |
| M33 | Empoli · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −7.83 |
| M34 | Pescara · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −5.98 |
| M35 | Monza · Home17 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.11 |
| M36 | Cesena · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −7.29 |
| M37 | Sudtirol · Home1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −5.84 |
| M38 | Reggiana · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −7.41 |
| Total | 44 | −7.41 | |||