Points
35Points expected by the market
51.32Gap
−16.32Yield
−45.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 11 | −8.04 | −65.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 17 | −7.74 | −47.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.54 | −12.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 10 | −7.27 | −61.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.74 | −35.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.12 | +76.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −4.99 | −55.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.67 | −41.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Carrarese · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.85 |
| M2 | Catanzaro · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.76 |
| M3 | Empoli · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.24 |
| M4 | Juve Stabia · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.88 |
| M5 | Venezia · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.03 |
| M6 | Reggiana · Away30 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −6.80 |
| M7 | Palermo · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −8.20 |
| M8 | Cesena · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −9.77 |
| M9 | Avellino · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −8.14 |
| M10 | Padova · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −8.97 |
| M11 | Monza · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −9.83 |
| M12 | Bari · Home7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −10.54 |
| M13 | Mantova · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −11.79 |
| M14 | Sampdoria · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −10.29 |
| M15 | Virtus Entella · Away8 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −8.60 |
| M16 | Modena · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −9.73 |
| M17 | Frosinone · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −10.71 |
| M18 | Pescara · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −9.47 |
| M19 | Sudtirol · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −10.60 |
| M20 | Palermo · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −11.45 |
| M21 | Avellino · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −10.13 |
| M22 | Sampdoria · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −11.23 |
| M23 | Virtus Entella · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −11.84 |
| M24 | Bari · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −12.24 |
| M25 | Frosinone · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −13.52 |
| M26 | Cesena · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | −11.61 |
| M27 | Reggiana · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −13.30 |
| M28 | Padova · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −13.56 |
| M29 | Monza · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.94 | −11.62 |
| M30 | Modena · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −12.42 |
| M31 | Empoli · Home17 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −12.83 |
| M32 | Juve Stabia · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −13.96 |
| M33 | Carrarese · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −15.13 |
| M34 | Mantova · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −16.64 |
| M35 | Sudtirol · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −15.17 |
| M36 | Catanzaro · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −16.34 |
| M37 | Venezia · Home1 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −16.16 |
| M38 | Pescara · Away8 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −16.32 |
| Total | 35 | −16.32 | |||