Points
41Points expected by the market
50.21Gap
−9.21Yield
−52.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −4.31 | −40.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 24 | −2.77 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −4.31 | −40.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.38 | −43.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −0.39 | −40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Catanzaro · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.21 |
| M2 | Sampdoria · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.28 |
| M3 | Palermo · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.18 |
| M4 | Frosinone · Away19 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.10 |
| M5 | Reggiana · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.37 |
| M6 | Pescara · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.89 |
| M7 | Empoli · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.68 |
| M8 | Mantova · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.94 |
| M9 | Cesena · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.20 |
| M10 | Venezia · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.98 |
| M11 | Padova · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −3.23 |
| M12 | Carrarese · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.81 |
| M13 | Modena · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −3.55 |
| M14 | Avellino · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −5.23 |
| M15 | Monza · Away8 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −4.95 |
| M16 | Bari · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −5.74 |
| M17 | Virtus Entella · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −5.91 |
| M18 | Juve Stabia · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.98 |
| M19 | Spezia · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −5.54 |
| M20 | Empoli · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −3.77 |
| M21 | Padova · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.52 |
| M22 | Catanzaro · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.13 |
| M23 | Carrarese · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.33 |
| M24 | Monza · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.44 |
| M25 | Bari · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.09 |
| M26 | Palermo · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.68 |
| M27 | Venezia · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.65 |
| M28 | Reggiana · Away3 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.85 |
| M29 | Virtus Entella · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.02 |
| M30 | Pescara · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.79 |
| M31 | Avellino · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.93 |
| M32 | Frosinone · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.16 |
| M33 | Cesena · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.31 |
| M34 | Modena · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −4.56 |
| M35 | Spezia · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.74 |
| M36 | Mantova · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −7.11 |
| M37 | Sampdoria · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −8.24 |
| M38 | Juve Stabia · Home8 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −9.21 |
| Total | 41 | −9.21 | |||