Points
42Points expected by the market
47.80Gap
−5.80Yield
−28.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +5.00 | +40.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 14 | −9.94 | −52.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | −0.85 | −31.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +5.00 | +40.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.79 | −13.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.17 | +97.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 1 | −9.15 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −3.03 | −54.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juve Stabia · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Cesena · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.58 |
| M3 | Mantova · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.76 |
| M4 | Padova · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.53 |
| M5 | Avellino · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.82 |
| M6 | Bari · Home30 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −2.40 |
| M7 | Modena · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.30 |
| M8 | Sampdoria · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.68 |
| M9 | Pescara · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.58 |
| M10 | Frosinone · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.71 |
| M11 | Empoli · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −2.28 |
| M12 | Reggiana · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.77 |
| M13 | Palermo · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.09 |
| M14 | Catanzaro · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.25 |
| M15 | Spezia · Home8 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.63 |
| M16 | Carrarese · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.76 |
| M17 | Sudtirol · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −7.28 |
| M18 | Venezia · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −7.95 |
| M19 | Monza · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −5.94 |
| M20 | Sampdoria · Away16 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −5.93 |
| M21 | Juve Stabia · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.97 |
| M22 | Frosinone · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −7.28 |
| M23 | Spezia · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −7.34 |
| M24 | Cesena · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −5.71 |
| M25 | Palermo · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −6.40 |
| M26 | Catanzaro · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −7.87 |
| M27 | Monza · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −8.53 |
| M28 | Modena · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −6.67 |
| M29 | Sudtirol · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −4.51 |
| M30 | Avellino · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.91 |
| M31 | Pescara · Away18 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.97 |
| M32 | Reggiana · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.63 |
| M33 | Mantova · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.86 |
| M34 | Venezia · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −6.69 |
| M35 | Empoli · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.74 |
| M36 | Padova · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −5.56 |
| M37 | Bari · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.00 |
| M38 | Carrarese · Home8 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −5.80 |
| Total | 42 | −5.80 | |||