Points
40Points expected by the market
43.52Gap
−3.52Yield
−22.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.90 | −16.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +2.03 | +0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.43 | −50.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.90 | −16.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.47 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.37 | +146.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.50 | +22.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −4.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Eyupspor · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Gaziantep · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.97 |
| M3 | Göztepe · Away29 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +3.08 |
| M4 | Alanyaspor · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | +1.40 |
| M5 | Galatasaray · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +0.99 |
| M6 | Başakşehir · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.42 |
| M7 | Kasimpasa · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.05 |
| M8 | Kocaelispor · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.24 |
| M9 | Besiktas · Home22 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.96 |
| M10 | Genclerbirligi · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.53 |
| M11 | Samsunspor · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.88 |
| M12 | Karagumruk · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.24 |
| M13 | Antalyaspor · Home24 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −3.15 |
| M14 | Trabzonspor · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.89 |
| M15 | Rizespor · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.18 |
| M16 | Fenerbahce · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −4.58 |
| M17 | Kayserispor · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −5.25 |
| M18 | Eyupspor · Home19 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −6.46 |
| M19 | Gaziantep · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −6.65 |
| M20 | Besiktas · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −7.32 |
| M21 | Göztepe · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −7.73 |
| M22 | Alanyaspor · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −8.90 |
| M23 | Galatasaray · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −6.70 |
| M24 | Başakşehir · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.57 |
| M25 | Kasimpasa · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −8.35 |
| M26 | Kocaelispor · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.49 |
| M27 | Genclerbirligi · Home19 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −5.36 |
| M28 | Samsunspor · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.49 |
| M29 | Karagumruk · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.32 |
| M30 | Antalyaspor · Away17 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −2.71 |
| M31 | Trabzonspor · Home27 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −0.86 |
| M32 | Rizespor · Away1 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.73 |
| M33 | Fenerbahce · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.56 |
| M34 | Kayserispor · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.52 |
| Total | 40 | −3.52 | |||