← Super League 2019-20

Lugano

Season 2019-20 · 36 matches played

Last 5DWDWW

Points

47

Points expected by the market

48.66

Gap

−1.66

Yield

−19.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 11 16.10 −5.10 −62.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 31 26.66 +4.34 +7.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 7 5 5.90 −0.90 −40.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Zurich · Away21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 W 4-0 2.57 1.38 3 +1.62 +1.62 +€1.57
M2 Thun · Home28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 D 0-0 1.86 1.77 1 −0.77 +0.85 −€1.00
M3 Young Boys · Away4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 L 0-2 5.06 0.79 0 −0.79 +0.06 −€1.00
M4 Sion · Home11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 L 0-1 1.95 1.71 0 −1.71 −1.65 −€1.00
M5 St. Gallen · Away25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 L 2-3 2.38 1.47 0 −1.47 −3.11 −€1.00
M6 Basel · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 L 1-2 5.76 0.71 0 −0.71 −3.83 −€1.00
M7 Luzern · Home22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 D 1-1 2.27 1.51 1 −0.51 −4.34 −€1.00
M8 Servette · Away26 Sep 2019 26 Sep 2019 D 0-0 3.21 1.15 1 −0.15 −4.49 −€1.00
M9 Xamax · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 L 0-1 1.81 1.82 0 −1.82 −6.31 −€1.00
M10 Sion · Away6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 W 2-1 2.59 1.37 3 +1.63 −4.68 +€1.59
M11 Zurich · Home20 Oct 2019 20 Oct 2019 D 0-0 1.95 1.71 1 −0.71 −5.39 −€1.00
M12 St. Gallen · Home27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 1-3 2.31 1.49 0 −1.49 −6.88 −€1.00
M13 Luzern · Away3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 W 2-1 3.00 1.22 3 +1.78 −5.10 +€2.00
M14 Basel · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 L 0-3 3.38 1.09 0 −1.09 −6.19 −€1.00
M15 Thun · Away24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 W 3-0 2.43 1.43 3 +1.57 −4.62 +€1.43
M16 Servette · Home1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 W 1-0 2.48 1.41 3 +1.59 −3.03 +€1.48
M17 Xamax · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 D 1-1 2.50 1.41 1 −0.41 −3.44 −€1.00
M18 Young Boys · Home15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 D 0-0 3.04 1.20 1 −0.20 −3.64 −€1.00
M19 St. Gallen · Away26 Jan 2020 26 Jan 2020 L 1-3 4.20 0.91 0 −0.91 −4.56 −€1.00
M20 Xamax · Home1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 D 1-1 1.73 1.87 1 −0.87 −5.43 −€1.00
M21 Thun · Away9 Feb 2020 9 Feb 2020 L 2-3 2.40 1.46 0 −1.46 −6.88 −€1.00
M22 Young Boys · Home16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 W 2-1 4.19 0.92 3 +2.08 −4.81 +€3.19
M23 Sion · Home23 Feb 2020 23 Feb 2020 D 0-0 2.02 1.67 1 −0.67 −5.48 −€1.00
M24 Servette · Away21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 D 1-1 3.67 1.04 1 −0.04 −5.52 −€1.00
M25 Luzern · Home24 Jun 2020 24 Jun 2020 W 2-0 2.72 1.34 3 +1.66 −3.86 +€1.72
M26 Zurich · Away28 Jun 2020 28 Jun 2020 L 0-1 2.67 1.33 0 −1.33 −5.19 −€1.00
M27 Basel · Home1 Jul 2020 1 Jul 2020 W 2-1 3.37 1.11 3 +1.89 −3.30 +€2.37
M28 Young Boys · Away5 Jul 2020 5 Jul 2020 L 0-3 6.11 0.68 0 −0.68 −3.98 −€1.00
M29 St. Gallen · Home9 Jul 2020 9 Jul 2020 D 3-3 3.02 1.19 1 −0.19 −4.17 −€1.00
M30 Luzern · Away12 Jul 2020 12 Jul 2020 D 3-3 3.03 1.21 1 −0.21 −4.38 −€1.00
M31 Thun · Home15 Jul 2020 15 Jul 2020 D 1-1 1.84 1.78 1 −0.78 −5.16 −€1.00
M32 Sion · Away19 Jul 2020 19 Jul 2020 D 1-1 2.49 1.41 1 −0.41 −5.57 −€1.00
M33 Zurich · Home22 Jul 2020 22 Jul 2020 W 1-0 1.74 1.85 3 +1.15 −4.43 +€0.74
M34 Basel · Away26 Jul 2020 26 Jul 2020 D 4-4 4.60 0.84 1 +0.16 −4.27 −€1.00
M35 Servette · Home31 Jul 2020 31 Jul 2020 W 3-1 1.68 1.90 3 +1.10 −3.17 +€0.68
M36 Xamax · Away3 Aug 2020 3 Aug 2020 W 1-0 2.26 1.49 3 +1.51 −1.66 +€1.26
Total 48.66 47 −1.66 −€6.97