← Super League 2020-21

Lugano

Season 2020-21 · 36 matches played

Last 5LLLWW

Points

49

Points expected by the market

46.42

Gap

+2.58

Yield

−12.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 6 8 9.89 −1.89 −65.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 23 38 30.74 +7.26 +27.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 7 3 5.79 −2.79 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Luzern · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 W 2-1 2.08 1.64 3 +1.36 +1.36 +€1.08
M2 Zurich · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 D 2-2 2.02 1.65 1 −0.65 +0.71 −€1.00
M3 Sion · Home3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 D 2-2 2.15 1.59 1 −0.59 +0.12 −€1.00
M4 Vaduz · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.09 1.62 1 −0.62 −0.49 −€1.00
M5 St. Gallen · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 W 1-0 2.30 1.49 3 +1.51 +1.02 +€1.30
M6 Lausanne · Away7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 W 1-0 2.98 1.24 3 +1.76 +2.78 +€1.98
M7 Servette · Away22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.04 1.21 1 −0.21 +2.57 −€1.00
M8 Basel · Home29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 W 1-0 2.71 1.32 3 +1.68 +4.25 +€1.71
M9 Zurich · Home13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 L 0-1 2.56 1.39 0 −1.39 +2.86 −€1.00
M10 St. Gallen · Away16 Dec 2020 16 Dec 2020 D 0-0 3.47 1.08 1 −0.08 +2.78 −€1.00
M11 Young Boys · Away19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 D 2-2 6.92 0.62 1 +0.38 +3.16 −€1.00
M12 Lausanne · Home23 Dec 2020 23 Dec 2020 D 0-0 2.53 1.41 1 −0.41 +2.75 −€1.00
M13 Sion · Away17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.07 1.65 1 −0.65 +2.10 −€1.00
M14 Young Boys · Home20 Jan 2021 20 Jan 2021 L 0-2 5.12 0.79 0 −0.79 +1.31 −€1.00
M15 St. Gallen · Away24 Jan 2021 24 Jan 2021 W 1-0 3.02 1.21 3 +1.79 +3.10 +€2.02
M16 Basel · Away31 Jan 2021 31 Jan 2021 D 2-2 3.16 1.17 1 −0.17 +2.92 −€1.00
M17 Vaduz · Home3 Feb 2021 3 Feb 2021 D 1-1 1.94 1.74 1 −0.74 +2.18 −€1.00
M18 Luzern · Away10 Feb 2021 10 Feb 2021 D 1-1 3.53 1.08 1 −0.08 +2.10 −€1.00
M19 Young Boys · Home14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 1-3 5.39 0.77 0 −0.77 +1.33 −€1.00
M20 Servette · Home17 Feb 2021 17 Feb 2021 D 1-1 2.54 1.40 1 −0.40 +0.93 −€1.00
M21 Luzern · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 L 2-3 3.14 1.18 0 −1.18 −0.25 −€1.00
M22 Lausanne · Away28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 L 0-2 3.33 1.15 0 −1.15 −1.40 −€1.00
M23 Sion · Away4 Mar 2021 4 Mar 2021 W 3-0 2.20 1.59 3 +1.41 +0.02 +€1.20
M24 Zurich · Home7 Mar 2021 7 Mar 2021 L 0-1 2.26 1.54 0 −1.54 −1.52 −€1.00
M25 Vaduz · Away14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 W 3-0 2.49 1.44 3 +1.56 +0.03 +€1.49
M26 Basel · Home20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 W 2-1 2.46 1.43 3 +1.57 +1.60 +€1.46
M27 Servette · Away4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 D 1-1 3.82 1.01 1 −0.01 +1.60 −€1.00
M28 Lausanne · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 1-0 2.91 1.27 3 +1.73 +3.33 +€1.91
M29 Young Boys · Away18 Apr 2021 18 Apr 2021 L 0-3 8.00 0.55 0 −0.55 +2.78 −€1.00
M30 St. Gallen · Home21 Apr 2021 21 Apr 2021 W 2-0 2.48 1.41 3 +1.59 +4.36 +€1.48
M31 Servette · Home25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 L 0-1 2.49 1.42 0 −1.42 +2.94 −€1.00
M32 Zurich · Away2 May 2021 2 May 2021 L 0-3 2.62 1.37 0 −1.37 +1.57 −€1.00
M33 Vaduz · Home8 May 2021 8 May 2021 L 0-2 2.45 1.45 0 −1.45 +0.12 −€1.00
M34 Basel · Away11 May 2021 11 May 2021 L 0-2 3.98 0.97 0 −0.97 −0.84 −€1.00
M35 Sion · Home15 May 2021 15 May 2021 W 3-1 2.28 1.51 3 +1.49 +0.64 +€1.28
M36 Luzern · Away21 May 2021 21 May 2021 W 2-1 3.44 1.06 3 +1.94 +2.58 +€2.44
Total 46.42 49 +2.58 −€4.65