← Super League 2023-24

Lugano

Season 2023-24 · 38 matches played

Last 5LWWLL

Points

65

Points expected by the market

55.33

Gap

+9.67

Yield

+21.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 6 4.37 +1.63 +41.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 13 31 22.89 +8.11 +46.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 18 24 23.41 +0.59 +12.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 5 4 4.66 −0.66 −17.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Lausanne Ouchy · Away26 Jul 2023 26 Jul 2023 W 3-0 1.90 1.74 3 +1.26 +1.26 +€0.90
M2 St. Gallen · Home29 Jul 2023 29 Jul 2023 W 1-0 2.30 1.48 3 +1.52 +2.79 +€1.30
M3 Zurich · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 L 0-3 2.95 1.22 0 −1.22 +1.57 −€1.00
M4 Yverdon · Home13 Aug 2023 13 Aug 2023 W 6-1 1.41 2.19 3 +0.81 +2.38 +€0.41
M5 Luzern · Away3 Sep 2023 3 Sep 2023 L 2-3 3.55 1.04 0 −1.04 +1.33 −€1.00
M6 Young Boys · Away24 Sep 2023 24 Sep 2023 L 1-4 4.57 0.84 0 −0.84 +0.50 −€1.00
M7 Lausanne · Home27 Sep 2023 27 Sep 2023 W 2-1 2.15 1.57 3 +1.43 +1.93 +€1.15
M8 Winterthur · Away30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 3-2 2.50 1.39 3 +1.61 +3.54 +€1.50
M9 Servette · Home8 Oct 2023 8 Oct 2023 L 0-1 2.31 1.48 0 −1.48 +2.06 −€1.00
M10 Grasshoppers · Away22 Oct 2023 22 Oct 2023 L 1-2 2.45 1.41 0 −1.41 +0.65 −€1.00
M11 Young Boys · Home29 Oct 2023 29 Oct 2023 D 1-1 2.72 1.30 1 −0.30 +0.35 −€1.00
M12 Lausanne · Away4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 L 1-3 2.85 1.26 0 −1.26 −0.90 −€1.00
M13 Zurich · Home12 Nov 2023 12 Nov 2023 L 0-3 2.81 1.29 0 −1.29 −2.19 −€1.00
M14 Yverdon · Away25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 W 5-0 1.98 1.68 3 +1.32 −0.87 +€0.98
M15 Luzern · Home3 Dec 2023 3 Dec 2023 W 1-0 2.19 1.54 3 +1.46 +0.59 +€1.19
M16 Basel · Home6 Dec 2023 6 Dec 2023 L 1-3 1.87 1.76 0 −1.76 −1.17 −€1.00
M17 Winterthur · Home10 Dec 2023 10 Dec 2023 W 2-1 1.72 1.87 3 +1.13 −0.04 +€0.72
M18 Servette · Away17 Dec 2023 17 Dec 2023 D 2-2 4.15 0.92 1 +0.08 +0.04 −€1.00
M19 Lausanne Ouchy · Home21 Jan 2024 21 Jan 2024 L 2-3 1.65 1.94 0 −1.94 −1.90 −€1.00
M20 St. Gallen · Away28 Jan 2024 28 Jan 2024 W 4-1 4.12 0.91 3 +2.09 +0.19 +€3.12
M21 Grasshoppers · Home31 Jan 2024 31 Jan 2024 D 0-0 1.82 1.79 1 −0.79 −0.60 −€1.00
M22 Basel · Away3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 W 1-0 3.00 1.22 3 +1.78 +1.18 +€2.00
M23 Young Boys · Home10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 D 3-3 2.77 1.28 1 −0.28 +0.90 −€1.00
M24 Servette · Away18 Feb 2024 18 Feb 2024 L 1-2 4.04 0.95 0 −0.95 −0.05 −€1.00
M25 Zurich · Home25 Feb 2024 25 Feb 2024 W 2-0 2.31 1.50 3 +1.50 +1.45 +€1.31
M26 Luzern · Away3 Mar 2024 3 Mar 2024 W 1-0 3.44 1.07 3 +1.93 +3.38 +€2.44
M27 St. Gallen · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 3-2 3.44 1.07 3 +1.93 +5.31 +€2.44
M28 Yverdon · Home16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 W 2-0 1.42 2.18 3 +0.82 +6.13 +€0.42
M29 Lausanne Ouchy · Away30 Mar 2024 30 Mar 2024 W 3-1 1.76 1.84 3 +1.16 +7.29 +€0.76
M30 Basel · Home2 Apr 2024 2 Apr 2024 W 2-0 1.85 1.77 3 +1.23 +8.52 +€0.85
M31 Winterthur · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.30 1.50 1 −0.50 +8.02 −€1.00
M32 Grasshoppers · Away13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 W 1-0 2.04 1.65 3 +1.35 +9.38 +€1.04
M33 Lausanne · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 2-0 1.90 1.72 3 +1.28 +10.65 +€0.90
M34 St. Gallen · Home4 May 2024 4 May 2024 L 0-1 2.45 1.40 0 −1.40 +9.26 −€1.00
M35 Young Boys · Away11 May 2024 11 May 2024 W 1-0 3.33 1.09 3 +1.91 +11.17 +€2.33
M36 Winterthur · Home16 May 2024 16 May 2024 W 4-2 1.55 2.02 3 +0.98 +12.15 +€0.55
M37 Zurich · Away20 May 2024 20 May 2024 L 1-2 2.88 1.25 0 −1.25 +10.90 −€1.00
M38 Servette · Home25 May 2024 25 May 2024 L 0-2 2.87 1.22 0 −1.22 +9.67 −€1.00
Total 55.33 65 +9.67 +€8.31