← Super League 2024-25

Lugano

Season 2024-25 · 38 matches played

Last 5WLLDD

Points

54

Points expected by the market

57.69

Gap

−3.69

Yield

−18.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 3 9 6.71 +2.29 +37.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 25 24.45 +0.55 −5.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 18 19 23.55 −4.55 −24.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 1 2.98 −1.98 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Grasshoppers · Home20 Jul 2024 20 Jul 2024 W 2-1 1.79 1.83 3 +1.17 +1.17 +€0.79
M2 Basel · Away27 Jul 2024 27 Jul 2024 W 2-1 2.98 1.23 3 +1.77 +2.93 +€1.98
M3 Servette · Home3 Aug 2024 3 Aug 2024 W 3-1 2.56 1.37 3 +1.63 +4.57 +€1.56
M4 Luzern · Home11 Aug 2024 11 Aug 2024 L 2-3 1.88 1.74 0 −1.74 +2.82 −€1.00
M5 St. Gallen · Home1 Sep 2024 1 Sep 2024 D 1-1 2.05 1.62 1 −0.62 +2.21 −€1.00
M6 Lausanne · Away18 Sep 2024 18 Sep 2024 W 2-1 3.03 1.19 3 +1.81 +4.01 +€2.03
M7 Sion · Away22 Sep 2024 22 Sep 2024 D 0-0 2.62 1.35 1 −0.35 +3.66 −€1.00
M8 Winterthur · Home29 Sep 2024 29 Sep 2024 W 2-1 1.41 2.18 3 +0.82 +4.48 +€0.41
M9 Zurich · Away6 Oct 2024 6 Oct 2024 D 1-1 2.96 1.23 1 −0.23 +4.25 −€1.00
M10 Yverdon · Away20 Oct 2024 20 Oct 2024 L 0-2 1.58 2.00 0 −2.00 +2.25 −€1.00
M11 Young Boys · Home27 Oct 2024 27 Oct 2024 W 2-0 2.02 1.65 3 +1.35 +3.60 +€1.02
M12 Grasshoppers · Away31 Oct 2024 31 Oct 2024 D 1-1 2.11 1.60 1 −0.60 +3.00 −€1.00
M13 Yverdon · Home3 Nov 2024 3 Nov 2024 W 2-0 1.36 2.25 3 +0.75 +3.74 +€0.36
M14 Young Boys · Away10 Nov 2024 10 Nov 2024 L 1-2 2.79 1.28 0 −1.28 +2.47 −€1.00
M15 Zurich · Home24 Nov 2024 24 Nov 2024 W 4-1 2.07 1.63 3 +1.37 +3.83 +€1.07
M16 Servette · Away1 Dec 2024 1 Dec 2024 L 0-3 3.84 0.99 0 −0.99 +2.84 −€1.00
M17 Luzern · Away7 Dec 2024 7 Dec 2024 W 4-1 2.64 1.34 3 +1.66 +4.51 +€1.64
M18 Lausanne · Home15 Dec 2024 15 Dec 2024 L 1-4 2.21 1.54 0 −1.54 +2.97 −€1.00
M19 Basel · Home19 Jan 2025 19 Jan 2025 D 2-2 2.63 1.34 1 −0.34 +2.62 −€1.00
M20 Winterthur · Away25 Jan 2025 25 Jan 2025 W 3-2 1.64 1.94 3 +1.06 +3.68 +€0.64
M21 Sion · Home1 Feb 2025 1 Feb 2025 W 3-2 1.94 1.73 3 +1.27 +4.95 +€0.94
M22 St. Gallen · Away5 Feb 2025 5 Feb 2025 L 1-2 2.84 1.27 0 −1.27 +3.68 −€1.00
M23 Grasshoppers · Home8 Feb 2025 8 Feb 2025 D 1-1 1.88 1.76 1 −0.76 +2.91 −€1.00
M24 Luzern · Home15 Feb 2025 15 Feb 2025 W 2-0 1.95 1.70 3 +1.30 +4.22 +€0.95
M25 Young Boys · Away23 Feb 2025 23 Feb 2025 L 0-1 3.54 1.06 0 −1.06 +3.16 −€1.00
M26 Zurich · Home2 Mar 2025 2 Mar 2025 L 0-3 1.93 1.72 0 −1.72 +1.45 −€1.00
M27 Sion · Away9 Mar 2025 9 Mar 2025 L 1-2 2.42 1.45 0 −1.45 0.00 −€1.00
M28 Winterthur · Home16 Mar 2025 16 Mar 2025 W 2-1 1.34 2.28 3 +0.72 +0.72 +€0.34
M29 Servette · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 L 0-2 2.34 1.49 0 −1.49 −0.77 −€1.00
M30 Yverdon · Away1 Apr 2025 1 Apr 2025 W 2-0 1.77 1.84 3 +1.16 +0.39 +€0.77
M31 Basel · Away6 Apr 2025 6 Apr 2025 L 0-2 3.34 1.11 0 −1.11 −0.72 −€1.00
M32 St. Gallen · Home13 Apr 2025 13 Apr 2025 D 1-1 1.98 1.68 1 −0.68 −1.40 −€1.00
M33 Lausanne · Away21 Apr 2025 21 Apr 2025 L 0-2 2.92 1.24 0 −1.24 −2.64 −€1.00
M34 Luzern · Away4 May 2025 4 May 2025 W 2-0 2.47 1.40 3 +1.60 −1.04 +€1.47
M35 Basel · Home10 May 2025 10 May 2025 L 2-5 2.93 1.21 0 −1.21 −2.25 −€1.00
M36 Servette · Away15 May 2025 15 May 2025 L 1-4 3.45 1.07 0 −1.07 −3.32 −€1.00
M37 Lausanne · Away18 May 2025 18 May 2025 D 1-1 4.08 0.93 1 +0.07 −3.26 −€1.00
M38 Young Boys · Home24 May 2025 24 May 2025 D 1-1 2.37 1.43 1 −0.43 −3.69 −€1.00
Total 57.69 54 −3.69 −€7.03