Points
56Points expected by the market
62.62Gap
−6.62Yield
−23.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.86 | +35.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 33 | −3.94 | −18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −4.82 | −48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.08 | +35.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −5.78 | −49.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.52 | −35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.84 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.30 | −56.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St. Gallen · Away26 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −1.91 |
| M2 | Grasshoppers · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −1.29 |
| M3 | Young Boys · Home6 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.12 |
| M4 | Lugano · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.78 |
| M5 | Sion · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.42 |
| M6 | Thun · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.98 |
| M7 | Luzern · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −1.03 |
| M8 | Servette · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.42 |
| M9 | Winterthur · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +1.06 |
| M10 | Lausanne · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.54 |
| M11 | Zurich · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.36 |
| M12 | Young Boys · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.02 |
| M13 | Lugano · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −1.84 |
| M14 | Grasshoppers · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.74 |
| M15 | St. Gallen · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.03 | −3.77 |
| M16 | Winterthur · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | −3.00 |
| M17 | Lausanne · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −3.82 |
| M18 | Luzern · Away17 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.59 |
| M19 | Servette · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −3.49 |
| M20 | Sion · Home18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −4.30 |
| M21 | Zurich · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.98 |
| M22 | Thun · Home1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −4.44 |
| M23 | Zurich · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −3.51 |
| M24 | Sion · Away12 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.74 |
| M25 | Lugano · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −5.20 |
| M26 | Luzern · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −6.46 |
| M27 | Lausanne · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −4.78 |
| M28 | Grasshoppers · Home5 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −3.64 |
| M29 | St. Gallen · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.73 |
| M30 | Servette · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −3.27 |
| M31 | Winterthur · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −2.12 |
| M32 | Young Boys · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | −2.65 |
| M33 | Thun · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.63 |
| M34 | Sion · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.92 |
| M35 | Thun · Home2 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −3.24 |
| M36 | Young Boys · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.26 |
| M37 | St. Gallen · Home14 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.88 |
| M38 | Lugano · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.62 |
| Total | 56 | −6.62 | |||