Points
42Points expected by the market
53.82Gap
−11.82Yield
−29.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.49 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 15 | −5.39 | −38.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.11 | −10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.84 | −53.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.49 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 12 | −4.72 | −45.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.38 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.67 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.73 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.84 | −53.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Winterthur · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.11 |
| M2 | Thun · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.23 |
| M3 | Zurich · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.95 |
| M4 | St. Gallen · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −3.49 |
| M5 | Grasshoppers · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −4.95 |
| M6 | Lugano · Away17 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −4.95 |
| M7 | Sion · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −5.11 |
| M8 | Young Boys · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −3.33 |
| M9 | Luzern · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.63 |
| M10 | Basel · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −1.80 |
| M11 | Servette · Home29 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.31 |
| M12 | Zurich · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.54 |
| M13 | Sion · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.19 |
| M14 | St. Gallen · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.51 |
| M15 | Thun · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.05 |
| M16 | Lugano · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.39 |
| M17 | Basel · Away14 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.33 |
| M18 | Luzern · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.90 |
| M19 | Servette · Away14 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −1.90 |
| M20 | Young Boys · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.04 |
| M21 | Grasshoppers · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.87 |
| M22 | Winterthur · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −2.80 |
| M23 | St. Gallen · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −3.40 |
| M24 | Thun · Away12 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.39 |
| M25 | Servette · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.77 |
| M26 | Lugano · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.74 |
| M27 | Basel · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.17 |
| M28 | Zurich · Away4 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −5.91 |
| M29 | Grasshoppers · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.30 |
| M30 | Young Boys · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.79 |
| M31 | Luzern · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.75 |
| M32 | Winterthur · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | −5.83 |
| M33 | Sion · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.81 |
| M34 | Zurich · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −5.67 |
| M35 | Luzern · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.03 |
| M36 | Winterthur · Away9 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.43 |
| M37 | Servette · Away12 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.42 |
| M38 | Grasshoppers · Home16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.40 | −11.82 |
| Total | 42 | −11.82 | |||