← Super League 2025-26

Lugano

Season 2025-26 · 38 matches played

Last 5WWLDW

Points

67

Points expected by the market

57.97

Gap

+9.03

Yield

+10.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 6 4.37 +1.63 +39.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 19 33 32.40 +0.60 −0.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 24 19.25 +4.75 +10.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 4 1.94 +2.06 +95.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Thun · Home27 Jul 2025 27 Jul 2025 L 1-2 1.86 1.74 0 −1.74 −1.74 −€1.00
M2 Sion · Away3 Aug 2025 3 Aug 2025 L 0-4 2.19 1.56 0 −1.56 −3.30 −€1.00
M3 Basel · Home10 Aug 2025 10 Aug 2025 W 3-1 3.28 1.09 3 +1.91 −1.39 +€2.28
M4 Young Boys · Away31 Aug 2025 31 Aug 2025 L 1-3 3.30 1.09 0 −1.09 −2.48 −€1.00
M5 St. Gallen · Away13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.78 1.27 0 −1.27 −3.75 −€1.00
M6 Lausanne · Home17 Sep 2025 17 Sep 2025 D 1-1 1.85 1.75 1 −0.75 −4.49 −€1.00
M7 Grasshoppers · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 W 2-1 1.58 1.98 3 +1.02 −3.47 +€0.58
M8 Winterthur · Away5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 W 4-2 1.73 1.84 3 +1.16 −2.31 +€0.73
M9 Zurich · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 1-0 1.84 1.75 3 +1.25 −1.06 +€0.84
M10 Servette · Away26 Oct 2025 26 Oct 2025 L 1-2 2.61 1.32 0 −1.32 −2.38 −€1.00
M11 Luzern · Home30 Oct 2025 30 Oct 2025 W 2-0 1.74 1.83 3 +1.17 −1.21 +€0.74
M12 Basel · Away9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 W 1-0 3.90 0.94 3 +2.06 +0.85 +€2.90
M13 Thun · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 W 1-0 2.64 1.31 3 +1.69 +2.55 +€1.64
M14 St. Gallen · Home26 Nov 2025 26 Nov 2025 L 1-3 1.85 1.75 0 −1.75 +0.80 −€1.00
M15 Sion · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 D 1-1 2.22 1.53 1 −0.53 +0.27 −€1.00
M16 Lausanne · Away7 Dec 2025 7 Dec 2025 D 0-0 2.40 1.41 1 −0.41 −0.14 −€1.00
M17 Servette · Home14 Dec 2025 14 Dec 2025 W 4-2 2.11 1.58 3 +1.42 +1.29 +€1.11
M18 Zurich · Away17 Dec 2025 17 Dec 2025 W 1-0 2.32 1.45 3 +1.55 +2.84 +€1.32
M19 Young Boys · Home21 Dec 2025 21 Dec 2025 W 3-0 2.03 1.62 3 +1.38 +4.22 +€1.03
M20 Luzern · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 5-2 2.46 1.40 3 +1.60 +5.82 +€1.46
M21 Winterthur · Home24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 W 4-1 1.30 2.31 3 +0.69 +6.51 +€0.30
M22 Grasshoppers · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 1-1 1.99 1.66 1 −0.66 +5.86 −€1.00
M23 Winterthur · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 D 1-1 1.57 1.97 1 −0.97 +4.88 −€1.00
M24 Servette · Home11 Feb 2026 11 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.23 1.53 1 −0.53 +4.35 −€1.00
M25 Basel · Away15 Feb 2026 15 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.70 1.28 1 −0.28 +4.07 −€1.00
M26 Lausanne · Home22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 W 2-1 1.82 1.77 3 +1.23 +5.29 +€0.82
M27 Grasshoppers · Away1 Mar 2026 1 Mar 2026 L 0-1 2.13 1.57 0 −1.57 +3.72 −€1.00
M28 Sion · Home4 Mar 2026 4 Mar 2026 W 2-1 2.05 1.62 3 +1.38 +5.11 +€1.05
M29 Luzern · Home7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 L 1-3 2.08 1.59 0 −1.59 +3.52 −€1.00
M30 St. Gallen · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 D 1-1 3.36 1.08 1 −0.08 +3.44 −€1.00
M31 Young Boys · Away22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 D 1-1 3.64 1.00 1 0.00 +3.44 −€1.00
M32 Thun · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 W 1-0 2.49 1.36 3 +1.64 +5.07 +€1.49
M33 Zurich · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.87 1.73 3 +1.27 +6.35 +€0.87
M34 Thun · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 1-0 3.31 1.08 3 +1.92 +8.27 +€2.31
M35 Young Boys · Home3 May 2026 3 May 2026 W 1-0 2.06 1.59 3 +1.41 +9.68 +€1.06
M36 St. Gallen · Home10 May 2026 10 May 2026 L 1-2 2.17 1.53 0 −1.53 +8.16 −€1.00
M37 Sion · Away14 May 2026 14 May 2026 D 2-2 3.48 1.06 1 −0.06 +8.09 −€1.00
M38 Basel · Home17 May 2026 17 May 2026 W 4-0 1.48 2.06 3 +0.94 +9.03 +€0.48
Total 57.97 67 +9.03 +€4.01