Points
53Points expected by the market
54.99Gap
−1.99Yield
−12.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 6 | −2.84 | −30.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −0.69 | −29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 28 | +3.13 | −2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.59 | −2.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 3 | −3.62 | −52.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −1.29 | −34.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.83 | −68.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.61 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.96 | +36.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.60 | +22.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grasshoppers · Away26 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Zurich · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.01 |
| M3 | Thun · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.55 |
| M4 | St. Gallen · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.35 |
| M5 | Servette · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.02 |
| M6 | Young Boys · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.25 |
| M7 | Basel · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | +1.98 |
| M8 | Sion · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.52 |
| M9 | Lausanne · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.08 |
| M10 | Winterthur · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.44 |
| M11 | Lugano · Away30 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.48 |
| M12 | Grasshoppers · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.71 |
| M13 | Zurich · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.64 |
| M14 | Servette · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.06 |
| M15 | Winterthur · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.18 | −3.24 |
| M16 | Thun · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.43 |
| M17 | Young Boys · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.34 |
| M18 | Basel · Home17 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.33 |
| M19 | Lausanne · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −4.52 |
| M20 | Lugano · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.84 |
| M21 | Sion · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −5.90 |
| M22 | St. Gallen · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −6.34 |
| M23 | Sion · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −6.54 |
| M24 | Grasshoppers · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.17 | −5.37 |
| M25 | Zurich · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.87 |
| M26 | Basel · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −2.36 |
| M27 | Thun · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.34 |
| M28 | Young Boys · Home4 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −4.90 |
| M29 | Lugano · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.05 |
| M30 | Winterthur · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.31 | −5.36 |
| M31 | Lausanne · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.17 |
| M32 | Servette · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.34 |
| M33 | St. Gallen · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −5.96 |
| M34 | Grasshoppers · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −4.72 |
| M35 | Lausanne · Away2 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.11 |
| M36 | Servette · Home9 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | −3.64 |
| M37 | Zurich · Home12 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −2.77 |
| M38 | Winterthur · Away16 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −1.99 |
| Total | 53 | −1.99 | |||