Points
53Points expected by the market
57.28Gap
−4.28Yield
−28.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 27 | −4.13 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.09 | −27.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −5.59 | −45.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.38 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.47 | +24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.71 | −22.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Young Boys · Away26 Jul 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.88 |
| M2 | St. Gallen · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.75 | −2.63 |
| M3 | Grasshoppers · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −3.45 |
| M4 | Luzern · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.86 |
| M5 | Zurich · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.13 |
| M6 | Sion · Away17 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.39 |
| M7 | Winterthur · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −2.50 |
| M8 | Basel · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.70 |
| M9 | Thun · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.02 |
| M10 | Lugano · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.45 |
| M11 | Lausanne · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.67 |
| M12 | Winterthur · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.91 | −3.59 |
| M13 | Thun · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −5.32 |
| M14 | Luzern · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −5.62 |
| M15 | Young Boys · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.35 | −5.97 |
| M16 | Grasshoppers · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.57 |
| M17 | Lugano · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.72 |
| M18 | Basel · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −5.59 |
| M19 | Lausanne · Home14 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −7.32 |
| M20 | Zurich · Home18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −8.22 |
| M21 | St. Gallen · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.79 | −6.44 |
| M22 | Sion · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −7.11 |
| M23 | Thun · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −8.69 |
| M24 | Lugano · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −8.88 |
| M25 | Lausanne · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | −9.22 |
| M26 | St. Gallen · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −9.77 |
| M27 | Sion · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −10.42 |
| M28 | Winterthur · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −11.28 |
| M29 | Zurich · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −10.30 |
| M30 | Basel · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −11.51 |
| M31 | Grasshoppers · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −10.34 |
| M32 | Luzern · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −8.92 |
| M33 | Young Boys · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −8.96 |
| M34 | Winterthur · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.83 | −8.13 |
| M35 | Grasshoppers · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.65 |
| M36 | Luzern · Away9 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | −6.87 |
| M37 | Lausanne · Home12 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −5.63 |
| M38 | Zurich · Away16 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −4.28 |
| Total | 53 | −4.28 | |||