Points
55Points expected by the market
59.58Gap
−4.58Yield
−19.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.45 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 25 | −5.71 | −29.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.64 | −6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.45 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 23 | −2.41 | −14.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.45 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.30 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +3.09 | +13.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.97 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Servette · Home26 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.12 |
| M2 | Winterthur · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +0.13 |
| M3 | Basel · Away6 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.81 |
| M4 | Sion · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | −1.79 |
| M5 | Lugano · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.45 |
| M6 | Luzern · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.08 |
| M7 | Thun · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.30 |
| M8 | Lausanne · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.77 |
| M9 | St. Gallen · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −1.06 |
| M10 | Zurich · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.58 |
| M11 | Grasshoppers · Away30 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.08 |
| M12 | Basel · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.30 |
| M13 | St. Gallen · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.45 |
| M14 | Winterthur · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +2.19 |
| M15 | Servette · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.80 |
| M16 | Sion · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.44 |
| M17 | Luzern · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.58 |
| M18 | Grasshoppers · Home17 Dec 2025 | L 2-6 | 0 | −2.02 | −0.44 |
| M19 | Lugano · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.56 |
| M20 | Lausanne · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −3.16 |
| M21 | Thun · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.18 |
| M22 | Zurich · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −3.22 |
| M23 | Grasshoppers · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −4.01 |
| M24 | St. Gallen · Away11 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.09 |
| M25 | Winterthur · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.71 | −4.38 |
| M26 | Sion · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.67 |
| M27 | Zurich · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −4.67 |
| M28 | Luzern · Away4 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.87 |
| M29 | Thun · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.40 |
| M30 | Lausanne · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.66 |
| M31 | Lugano · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.42 |
| M32 | Basel · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.64 |
| M33 | Servette · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −4.29 |
| M34 | St. Gallen · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −6.01 |
| M35 | Lugano · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −7.18 |
| M36 | Basel · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −5.93 |
| M37 | Thun · Away14 May 2026 | W 8-3 | 3 | +1.77 | −4.16 |
| M38 | Sion · Home17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | −4.58 |
| Total | 55 | −4.58 | |||