Points
38Points expected by the market
44.39Gap
−6.39Yield
−19.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.14 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.64 | −22.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −3.61 | −22.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.12 | −3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −3.76 | −18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.20 | +68.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.26 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.11 | −33.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −3.81 | −43.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sion · Home25 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.49 |
| M2 | Luzern · Away3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.66 |
| M3 | Lausanne · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.32 |
| M4 | Thun · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.21 |
| M5 | Winterthur · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.18 |
| M6 | Servette · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.70 |
| M7 | St. Gallen · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.33 |
| M8 | Grasshoppers · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +1.68 |
| M9 | Lugano · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.68 |
| M10 | Young Boys · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.71 |
| M11 | Basel · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.40 |
| M12 | Lausanne · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.92 |
| M13 | Luzern · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.31 |
| M14 | Sion · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.41 |
| M15 | Grasshoppers · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.07 |
| M16 | St. Gallen · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.96 |
| M17 | Winterthur · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.00 | +0.96 |
| M18 | Lugano · Home17 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.32 |
| M19 | Thun · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.27 |
| M20 | Servette · Away18 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.13 |
| M21 | Basel · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.19 |
| M22 | Young Boys · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.94 |
| M23 | Basel · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.66 |
| M24 | Winterthur · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −2.37 |
| M25 | Luzern · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.59 |
| M26 | Grasshoppers · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.92 |
| M27 | Young Boys · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.71 |
| M28 | Lausanne · Home4 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.72 |
| M29 | Servette · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.47 |
| M30 | Sion · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.53 |
| M31 | Thun · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −3.30 |
| M32 | St. Gallen · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.00 |
| M33 | Lugano · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.03 |
| M34 | Lausanne · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −5.94 |
| M35 | Winterthur · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.23 |
| M36 | Grasshoppers · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −4.60 |
| M37 | Luzern · Away12 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.27 |
| M38 | Servette · Home16 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −6.39 |
| Total | 38 | −6.39 | |||