Points
14Points expected by the market
10.35Gap
+3.65Yield
+18.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.49 | +64.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.16 | −27.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.93 | +61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.17 | +82.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.56 | +68.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St. Gallen · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.75 |
| M2 | Servette · Home1 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.26 |
| M3 | Lugano · Away9 Aug 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.64 | +0.62 |
| M4 | Basel · Home22 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.68 |
| M5 | Lausanne · Away29 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.24 |
| M6 | Young Boys · Home1 Sep 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +0.41 |
| M7 | Grasshoppers · Away5 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.05 |
| M8 | Vaduz · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.70 |
| M9 | Sion · Away19 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +2.08 |
| M10 | Thun · Home10 Oct 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.65 |
| Total | 14 | +3.65 | |||