← Veikkausliiga 2019

KPV Kokkola

Season 2019 · 29 matches played

Last 5WWLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

31.54

Gap

−5.54

Yield

−5.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.30	−3.30	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	19	17.64	+1.36	+2.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	7	10.60	−3.60	+1.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.30	−3.30	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	11	10.39	+0.61	+1.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	3	3.74	−0.74	+38.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	8	7.26	+0.74	+3.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	4	6.86	−2.86	−15.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ilves · Home7 Apr 2019	7 Apr 2019	L 0-2	4.14	0.97	0	−0.97	−0.97	−€1.00
M2	Rovaniemi · Home13 Apr 2019	13 Apr 2019	L 0-1	3.18	1.19	0	−1.19	−2.16	−€1.00
M3	VPS · Away20 Apr 2019	20 Apr 2019	D 2-2	3.09	1.22	1	−0.22	−2.37	−€1.00
M4	Mariehamn · Home25 Apr 2019	25 Apr 2019	L 0-4	3.43	1.11	0	−1.11	−3.48	−€1.00
M5	SJK · Away30 Apr 2019	30 Apr 2019	L 0-1	4.62	0.90	0	−0.90	−4.38	−€1.00
M6	KuPS · Away5 May 2019	5 May 2019	L 1-3	5.46	0.77	0	−0.77	−5.16	−€1.00
M7	Lahti · Home11 May 2019	11 May 2019	D 0-0	2.73	1.35	1	−0.35	−5.51	−€1.00
M8	HIFK · Home20 May 2019	20 May 2019	D 1-1	2.59	1.40	1	−0.40	−5.91	−€1.00
M9	HJK · Away26 May 2019	26 May 2019	L 1-3	9.16	0.51	0	−0.51	−6.42	−€1.00
M10	Honka · Away2 Jun 2019	2 Jun 2019	W 1-0	7.63	0.59	3	+2.41	−4.00	+€6.63
M11	Inter Turku · Home16 Jun 2019	16 Jun 2019	L 1-3	3.87	0.99	0	−0.99	−5.00	−€1.00
M12	Ilves · Away25 Jun 2019	25 Jun 2019	L 2-4	6.57	0.67	0	−0.67	−5.67	−€1.00
M13	Rovaniemi · Away29 Jun 2019	29 Jun 2019	D 0-0	4.23	0.96	1	+0.04	−5.62	−€1.00
M14	VPS · Home6 Jul 2019	6 Jul 2019	W 2-1	2.48	1.44	3	+1.56	−4.06	+€1.48
M15	Mariehamn · Away14 Jul 2019	14 Jul 2019	L 0-3	5.40	0.76	0	−0.76	−4.83	−€1.00
M16	SJK · Home20 Jul 2019	20 Jul 2019	L 1-2	2.90	1.28	0	−1.28	−6.11	−€1.00
M17	KuPS · Home28 Jul 2019	28 Jul 2019	W 2-1	3.16	1.18	3	+1.82	−4.29	+€2.16
M18	Lahti · Away4 Aug 2019	4 Aug 2019	L 0-1	3.26	1.17	0	−1.17	−5.45	−€1.00
M19	HIFK · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	L 2-3	3.75	1.04	0	−1.04	−6.50	−€1.00
M20	HJK · Home18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	W 2-1	5.54	0.77	3	+2.23	−4.26	+€4.54
M21	Inter Turku · Away26 Aug 2019	26 Aug 2019	L 1-2	6.38	0.67	0	−0.67	−4.93	−€1.00
M22	Honka · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	L 0-1	3.78	1.01	0	−1.01	−5.94	−€1.00
M23	HIFK · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	L 1-3	3.25	1.15	0	−1.15	−7.09	−€1.00
M24	Rovaniemi · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	W 4-1	2.48	1.42	3	+1.58	−5.51	+€1.48
M25	SJK · Away27 Sep 2019	27 Sep 2019	W 2-0	3.30	1.13	3	+1.87	−3.65	+€2.30
M26	Lahti · Away6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	W 4-1	2.93	1.25	3	+1.75	−1.90	+€1.93
M27	VPS · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	L 2-3	1.93	1.71	0	−1.71	−3.61	−€1.00
M28	TPS · Away24 Oct 2019	24 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.69	1.34	1	−0.34	−3.95	−€1.00
M29	TPS · Home27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	L 0-3	2.15	1.59	0	−1.59	−5.54	−€1.00
Total					31.54	26	−5.54		−€1.48