← Veikkausliiga 2021

AC Oulu

Season 2021 · 29 matches played

Last 5DLWLW

Points

Points expected by the market

30.22

Gap

−4.22

Yield

−13.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.18	+1.82	+28.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	8	11.62	−3.62	−42.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	11	13.42	−2.42	−5.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.18	+1.82	+28.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	4	7.56	−3.56	−62.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	6	3.92	+2.08	+138.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	4	4.06	−0.06	−3.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	5	9.50	−4.50	−65.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ilves · Home3 May 2021	3 May 2021	L 0-2	3.27	1.17	0	−1.17	−1.17	−€1.00
M2	Mariehamn · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 1-3	3.92	0.99	0	−0.99	−2.15	−€1.00
M3	SJK · Home15 May 2021	15 May 2021	L 0-2	4.05	1.00	0	−1.00	−3.15	−€1.00
M4	HIFK · Home23 May 2021	23 May 2021	L 1-2	3.47	1.13	0	−1.13	−4.28	−€1.00
M5	HJK · Away28 May 2021	28 May 2021	L 1-3	14.97	0.31	0	−0.31	−4.59	−€1.00
M6	Honka · Home11 Jun 2021	11 Jun 2021	L 0-2	4.61	0.89	0	−0.89	−5.48	−€1.00
M7	KTP · Away15 Jun 2021	15 Jun 2021	W 3-1	2.90	1.27	3	+1.73	−3.75	+€1.90
M8	KuPS · Home24 Jun 2021	24 Jun 2021	L 0-2	8.91	0.53	0	−0.53	−4.28	−€1.00
M9	KuPS · Away30 Jun 2021	30 Jun 2021	L 0-2	15.24	0.32	0	−0.32	−4.60	−€1.00
M10	KTP · Home5 Jul 2021	5 Jul 2021	D 1-1	2.00	1.70	1	−0.70	−5.30	−€1.00
M11	Honka · Away11 Jul 2021	11 Jul 2021	L 0-1	5.98	0.73	0	−0.73	−6.03	−€1.00
M12	HJK · Home17 Jul 2021	17 Jul 2021	W 2-1	7.43	0.61	3	+2.39	−3.64	+€6.43
M13	SJK · Away24 Jul 2021	24 Jul 2021	L 2-3	5.76	0.75	0	−0.75	−4.39	−€1.00
M14	Ilves · Away30 Jul 2021	30 Jul 2021	L 0-1	4.21	0.94	0	−0.94	−5.34	−€1.00
M15	Mariehamn · Home7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 1-0	2.05	1.65	3	+1.35	−3.99	+€1.05
M16	Inter Turku · Home14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 2-0	4.50	0.90	3	+2.10	−1.89	+€3.50
M17	Haka · Away20 Aug 2021	20 Aug 2021	W 1-0	4.17	0.96	3	+2.04	+0.15	+€3.17
M18	Lahti · Home28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	D 1-1	2.94	1.27	1	−0.27	−0.11	−€1.00
M19	HIFK · Away11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	L 1-3	4.11	0.97	0	−0.97	−1.08	−€1.00
M20	Lahti · Away18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	D 0-0	3.60	1.07	1	−0.07	−1.16	−€1.00
M21	Inter Turku · Away22 Sep 2021	22 Sep 2021	L 0-4	7.40	0.58	0	−0.58	−1.73	−€1.00
M22	Haka · Home26 Sep 2021	26 Sep 2021	L 0-1	2.88	1.29	0	−1.29	−3.02	−€1.00
M23	Haka · Away3 Oct 2021	3 Oct 2021	D 0-0	3.95	0.99	1	+0.01	−3.01	−€1.00
M24	Mariehamn · Home16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	L 1-2	3.04	1.22	0	−1.22	−4.23	−€1.00
M25	Lahti · Away22 Oct 2021	22 Oct 2021	D 0-0	2.92	1.25	1	−0.25	−4.47	−€1.00
M26	Honka · Away27 Oct 2021	27 Oct 2021	L 1-6	4.59	0.88	0	−0.88	−5.35	−€1.00
M27	KTP · Home31 Oct 2021	31 Oct 2021	W 2-1	2.27	1.50	3	+1.50	−3.85	+€1.27
M28	Rovaniemi · Away3 Nov 2021	3 Nov 2021	L 1-2	2.28	1.54	0	−1.54	−5.39	−€1.00
M29	Rovaniemi · Home7 Nov 2021	7 Nov 2021	W 2-0	1.79	1.83	3	+1.17	−4.22	+€0.79
Total					30.22	26	−4.22		−€3.89