← Veikkausliiga 2025

Gnistan

Season 2025 · 32 matches played

Last 5LLDDL

Points

33

Points expected by the market

36.56

Gap

−3.56

Yield

−21.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 17 14.27 +2.73 +14.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 6 6 8.26 −2.26 −62.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 10 14.02 −4.02 −23.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Haka · Away5 Apr 2025 5 Apr 2025 L 2-3 2.27 1.52 0 −1.52 −1.52 −€1.00
M2 Inter Turku · Away12 Apr 2025 12 Apr 2025 L 0-3 4.42 0.88 0 −0.88 −2.40 −€1.00
M3 HJK · Away22 Apr 2025 22 Apr 2025 W 1-0 6.86 0.62 3 +2.38 −0.02 +€5.86
M4 KuPS · Home27 Apr 2025 27 Apr 2025 L 1-2 3.52 1.08 0 −1.08 −1.10 −€1.00
M5 Mariehamn · Home3 May 2025 3 May 2025 W 2-0 1.52 2.07 3 +0.93 −0.17 +€0.52
M6 AC Oulu · Away10 May 2025 10 May 2025 W 3-2 2.26 1.53 3 +1.47 +1.31 +€1.26
M7 SJK · Home16 May 2025 16 May 2025 D 2-2 2.34 1.46 1 −0.46 +0.84 −€1.00
M8 Jaro · Away24 May 2025 24 May 2025 D 1-1 2.26 1.52 1 −0.52 +0.32 −€1.00
M9 Ilves · Home1 Jun 2025 1 Jun 2025 L 0-2 4.49 0.88 0 −0.88 −0.56 −€1.00
M10 KTP · Home14 Jun 2025 14 Jun 2025 W 2-1 1.72 1.84 3 +1.16 +0.60 +€0.72
M11 VPS · Away18 Jun 2025 18 Jun 2025 D 0-0 3.14 1.14 1 −0.14 +0.46 −€1.00
M12 Inter Turku · Home27 Jun 2025 27 Jun 2025 D 2-2 4.37 0.87 1 +0.13 +0.59 −€1.00
M13 KuPS · Away1 Jul 2025 1 Jul 2025 L 2-6 4.80 0.80 0 −0.80 −0.21 −€1.00
M14 KTP · Away7 Jul 2025 7 Jul 2025 D 0-0 1.72 1.83 1 −0.83 −1.03 −€1.00
M15 Haka · Home13 Jul 2025 13 Jul 2025 W 2-0 2.12 1.55 3 +1.45 +0.41 +€1.12
M16 SJK · Away20 Jul 2025 20 Jul 2025 L 1-3 3.87 0.94 0 −0.94 −0.53 −€1.00
M17 HJK · Home28 Jul 2025 28 Jul 2025 L 2-4 4.60 0.82 0 −0.82 −1.35 −€1.00
M18 Ilves · Away4 Aug 2025 4 Aug 2025 D 2-2 6.79 0.58 1 +0.42 −0.94 −€1.00
M19 Mariehamn · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 5-2 2.03 1.61 3 +1.39 +0.45 +€1.03
M20 VPS · Home15 Aug 2025 15 Aug 2025 D 0-0 1.91 1.69 1 −0.69 −0.24 −€1.00
M21 AC Oulu · Home25 Aug 2025 25 Aug 2025 W 3-2 1.79 1.77 3 +1.23 +0.99 +€0.79
M22 Jaro · Home31 Aug 2025 31 Aug 2025 L 1-2 1.63 1.91 0 −1.91 −0.92 −€1.00
M23 Inter Turku · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-2 4.02 0.91 0 −0.91 −1.83 −€1.00
M24 Ilves · Away23 Sep 2025 23 Sep 2025 L 2-3 6.07 0.64 0 −0.64 −2.48 −€1.00
M25 KuPS · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 0-4 3.87 0.96 0 −0.96 −3.44 −€1.00
M26 HJK · Away3 Oct 2025 3 Oct 2025 W 3-2 6.88 0.57 3 +2.43 −1.01 +€5.88
M27 SJK · Home19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 L 3-4 3.22 1.09 0 −1.09 −2.10 −€1.00
M28 Inter Turku · Away22 Oct 2025 22 Oct 2025 L 1-2 6.73 0.59 0 −0.59 −2.69 −€1.00
M29 Ilves · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 L 1-3 5.05 0.75 0 −0.75 −3.44 −€1.00
M30 KuPS · Away30 Oct 2025 30 Oct 2025 D 1-1 8.77 0.46 1 +0.54 −2.90 −€1.00
M31 HJK · Home3 Nov 2025 3 Nov 2025 D 2-2 3.86 0.93 1 +0.07 −2.83 −€1.00
M32 SJK · Away9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 L 0-3 5.07 0.73 0 −0.73 −3.56 −€1.00
Total 36.56 33 −3.56 −€6.82