← Veikkausliiga 2026

Gnistan

Season 2026 · 28 matches played

Last 5WDDLL

Points

42

Points expected by the market

33.62

Gap

+8.38

Yield

+13.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.30 +0.70 +29.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 5 5.18 −0.18 −43.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 21 17.68 +3.32 +11.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 10 13 8.46 +4.54 +31.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 AC Oulu · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 L 1-5 2.68 1.28 0 −1.28 −1.28 −€1.00
M2 KuPS · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 L 0-1 6.58 0.61 0 −0.61 −1.89 −€1.00
M3 HJK · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 L 0-3 4.44 0.83 0 −0.83 −2.73 −€1.00
M4 TPS · Away24 Apr 2026 24 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.81 1.24 1 −0.24 −2.97 −€1.00
M5 Inter Turku · Home5 May 2026 5 May 2026 W 2-0 4.40 0.86 3 +2.14 −0.83 +€3.40
M6 VPS · Away9 May 2026 9 May 2026 D 1-1 3.55 1.03 1 −0.03 −0.86 −€1.00
M7 Jaro · Home16 May 2026 16 May 2026 W 5-0 2.20 1.52 3 +1.48 +0.63 +€1.20
M8 Ilves · Away23 May 2026 23 May 2026 L 0-2 3.14 1.13 0 −1.13 −0.50 −€1.00
M9 SJK · Home30 May 2026 30 May 2026 W 3-2 2.55 1.33 3 +1.67 +1.17 +€1.55
M10 Mariehamn · Away13 Jun 2026 13 Jun 2026 W 3-0 1.71 1.85 3 +1.15 +2.31 +€0.71
M11 Lahti · Home17 Jun 2026 17 Jun 2026 W 1-0 2.38 1.42 3 +1.58 +3.90 +€1.38
M12 Jaro · Away23 Jun 2026 23 Jun 2026 D 1-1 1.91 1.68 1 −0.68 +3.22 −€1.00
M13 VPS · Home27 Jun 2026 27 Jun 2026 D 1-1 2.50 1.37 1 −0.37 +2.85 −€1.00
M14 Lahti · Away4 Jul 2026 4 Jul 2026 L 0-1 2.85 1.23 0 −1.23 +1.62 −€1.00
M15 Mariehamn · Home11 Jul 2026 11 Jul 2026 W 4-2 1.29 2.30 3 +0.70 +2.32 +€0.29
M16 AC Oulu · Away18 Jul 2026 18 Jul 2026 W 2-0 2.66 1.29 3 +1.71 +4.03 +€1.66
M17 Inter Turku · Away26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 W 2-1 4.20 0.89 3 +2.11 +6.14 +€3.20
M18 KuPS · Home1 Aug 2026 1 Aug 2026 L 0-1 3.36 1.06 0 −1.06 +5.08 −€1.00
M19 SJK · Away7 Aug 2026 7 Aug 2026 D 2-2 3.23 1.09 1 −0.09 +4.99 −€1.00
M20 Ilves · Home17 Aug 2026 17 Aug 2026 W 3-2 2.68 1.29 3 +1.71 +6.70 +€1.68
M21 HJK · Away23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 W 3-2 4.58 0.82 3 +2.18 +8.88 +€3.58
M22 TPS · Home31 Aug 2026 31 Aug 2026 D 1-1 1.95 1.65 1 −0.65 +8.23 −€1.00
M23 KuPS · Home8 Sep 2026 8 Sep 2026 D 1-1 3.65 1.01 1 −0.01 +8.23 −€1.00
M24 AC Oulu · Away12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 W 2-1 3.12 1.15 3 +1.85 +10.08 +€2.12
M25 HJK · Home18 Sep 2026 18 Sep 2026 D 1-1 4.00 0.92 1 +0.08 +10.16 −€1.00
M26 Inter Turku · Home7 Oct 2026 7 Oct 2026 D 0-0 4.34 0.87 1 +0.13 +10.28 −€1.00
M27 VPS · Away12 Oct 2026 12 Oct 2026 L 0-1 2.71 1.28 0 −1.28 +9.00 −€1.00
M28 HJK · Away17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 L 0-4 6.42 0.62 0 −0.62 +8.38 −€1.00
Total 33.62 42 +8.38 +€3.77