← Veikkausliiga 2026

Ilves

Season 2026 · 27 matches played

Last 5WWWDW

Points

38

Points expected by the market

40.12

Gap

−2.12

Yield

−17.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 4 4.43 −0.43 −37.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 17 15.53 +1.47 −1.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 16 18.47 −2.47 −13.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 1 1.68 −0.68 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 KuPS · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 L 1-3 2.54 1.36 0 −1.36 −1.36 −€1.00
M2 Inter Turku · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 L 1-2 3.12 1.16 0 −1.16 −2.51 −€1.00
M3 Mariehamn · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 2-2 1.46 2.09 1 −1.09 −3.60 −€1.00
M4 VPS · Away24 Apr 2026 24 Apr 2026 L 2-3 1.95 1.67 0 −1.67 −5.27 −€1.00
M5 SJK · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 D 1-1 2.73 1.26 1 −0.26 −5.53 −€1.00
M6 AC Oulu · Home8 May 2026 8 May 2026 W 1-0 2.91 1.20 3 +1.80 −3.73 +€1.91
M7 HJK · Away16 May 2026 16 May 2026 D 2-2 4.44 0.85 1 +0.15 −3.57 −€1.00
M8 Inter Turku · Home20 May 2026 20 May 2026 L 1-3 3.09 1.16 0 −1.16 −4.73 −€1.00
M9 Gnistan · Home23 May 2026 23 May 2026 W 2-0 2.01 1.61 3 +1.39 −3.34 +€1.01
M10 Lahti · Away30 May 2026 30 May 2026 L 0-5 2.80 1.26 0 −1.26 −4.60 −€1.00
M11 TPS · Home13 Jun 2026 13 Jun 2026 W 1-0 1.78 1.79 3 +1.21 −3.39 +€0.78
M12 Jaro · Home17 Jun 2026 17 Jun 2026 W 5-0 1.60 1.94 3 +1.06 −2.33 +€0.60
M13 KuPS · Away23 Jun 2026 23 Jun 2026 L 3-4 4.57 0.83 0 −0.83 −3.16 −€1.00
M14 SJK · Home27 Jun 2026 27 Jun 2026 D 2-2 2.12 1.54 1 −0.54 −3.69 −€1.00
M15 Jaro · Away4 Jul 2026 4 Jul 2026 L 1-2 1.80 1.76 0 −1.76 −5.45 −€1.00
M16 TPS · Away20 Jul 2026 20 Jul 2026 W 3-1 2.27 1.46 3 +1.54 −3.91 +€1.27
M17 Lahti · Home26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 W 1-0 2.43 1.39 3 +1.61 −2.30 +€1.43
M18 AC Oulu · Away2 Aug 2026 2 Aug 2026 L 0-1 2.62 1.32 0 −1.32 −3.61 −€1.00
M19 Mariehamn · Home9 Aug 2026 9 Aug 2026 W 2-0 1.26 2.34 3 +0.66 −2.95 +€0.26
M20 Gnistan · Away17 Aug 2026 17 Aug 2026 L 2-3 2.32 1.45 0 −1.45 −4.40 −€1.00
M21 VPS · Home22 Aug 2026 22 Aug 2026 L 0-1 2.23 1.49 0 −1.49 −5.89 −€1.00
M22 HJK · Home31 Aug 2026 31 Aug 2026 L 1-2 3.38 1.05 0 −1.05 −6.95 −€1.00
M23 Jaro · Home8 Sep 2026 8 Sep 2026 W 2-0 1.59 1.96 3 +1.04 −5.90 +€0.59
M24 Lahti · Home12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 W 3-1 2.20 1.51 3 +1.49 −4.41 +€1.20
M25 TPS · Away19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 W 3-0 2.35 1.43 3 +1.57 −2.84 +€1.35
M26 Mariehamn · Away10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 D 1-1 2.07 1.57 1 −0.57 −3.41 −€1.00
M27 SJK · Home17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 W 2-0 1.87 1.71 3 +1.29 −2.12 +€0.87
Total 40.12 38 −2.12 −€4.73