Points
49Points expected by the market
46.98Gap
+2.02Yield
−3.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.21 | +24.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −6.70 | −45.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 18 | +4.71 | +14.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.82 | +11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.09 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.37 | +117.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +117.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 1 | −6.79 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +2.35 | −19.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Valencia · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.94 |
| M2 | Getafe · Home22 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.51 |
| M3 | Celta · Home26 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.83 |
| M4 | Mallorca · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.88 |
| M5 | Real Valladolid · Home9 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.45 |
| M6 | Real Betis · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.37 |
| M7 | Real Sociedad · Home2 Oct 2022 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.53 |
| M8 | Atlético de Madrid · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −2.08 |
| M9 | Cádiz · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.85 |
| M10 | Almería · Away20 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.21 |
| M11 | Osasuna · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.67 |
| M12 | Real Madrid · Away30 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.59 | −4.08 |
| M13 | Athletic Club · Home4 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −2.13 |
| M14 | Elche · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.75 |
| M15 | Rayo Vallecano · Home29 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.40 |
| M16 | Espanyol · Away7 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.69 |
| M17 | Sevilla · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.19 |
| M18 | Villarreal · Away22 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.06 |
| M19 | FC Barcelona · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.79 |
| M20 | Valencia · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.32 |
| M21 | Cádiz · Away10 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.78 |
| M22 | Almería · Home17 Feb 2023 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.59 |
| M23 | Athletic Club · Away26 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.64 |
| M24 | Getafe · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.35 |
| M25 | Atlético de Madrid · Home13 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.70 |
| M26 | Rayo Vallecano · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.72 |
| M27 | Espanyol · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.50 |
| M28 | FC Barcelona · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.52 | +1.01 |
| M29 | Elche · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.81 |
| M30 | Real Valladolid · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.53 |
| M31 | Real Madrid · Home25 Apr 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.20 | +2.73 |
| M32 | Sevilla · Away1 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +4.77 |
| M33 | Mallorca · Home4 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.98 |
| M34 | Real Sociedad · Away13 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.29 | +6.27 |
| M35 | Villarreal · Home20 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +4.90 |
| M36 | Celta · Away23 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +4.83 |
| M37 | Real Betis · Home28 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +3.13 |
| M38 | Osasuna · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.02 |
| Total | 49 | +2.02 | |||