Points
42Points expected by the market
46.84Gap
−4.84Yield
−19.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.93 | −20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | −0.38 | −22.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | −1.52 | −16.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.94 | −34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.11 | +11.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.01 | +65.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +0.23 | +7.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Celta · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Real Betis · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.53 |
| M3 | Real Sociedad · Away28 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +0.78 |
| M4 | Las Palmas · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.87 |
| M5 | Espanyol · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.49 |
| M6 | Sevilla · Home20 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.87 |
| M7 | Real Madrid · Away24 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.28 | +1.59 |
| M8 | Getafe · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.42 |
| M9 | FC Barcelona · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.43 |
| M10 | Real Valladolid · Home18 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.02 | −2.45 |
| M11 | Rayo Vallecano · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.42 |
| M12 | Mallorca · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.96 |
| M13 | Villarreal · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.66 |
| M14 | Atlético de Madrid · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.26 |
| M15 | Leganés · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −4.14 |
| M16 | Osasuna · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.24 |
| M17 | Athletic Club · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −4.27 |
| M18 | Valencia · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.31 |
| M19 | Girona · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.52 |
| M20 | Real Betis · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −3.41 |
| M21 | Celta · Home27 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −3.95 |
| M22 | FC Barcelona · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −4.24 |
| M23 | Getafe · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −5.82 |
| M24 | Leganés · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.58 | −6.40 |
| M25 | Espanyol · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −8.23 |
| M26 | Mallorca · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −8.41 |
| M27 | Villarreal · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −6.66 |
| M28 | Las Palmas · Away14 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.02 |
| M29 | Rayo Vallecano · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −8.69 |
| M30 | Girona · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −6.73 |
| M31 | Real Madrid · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −7.55 |
| M32 | Sevilla · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −7.55 |
| M33 | Real Sociedad · Home23 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −6.08 |
| M34 | Atlético de Madrid · Home3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.13 |
| M35 | Athletic Club · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −7.09 |
| M36 | Valencia · Home14 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −5.66 |
| M37 | Real Valladolid · Away18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −4.65 |
| M38 | Osasuna · Home24 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.84 |
| Total | 42 | −4.84 | |||