Points
76Points expected by the market
71.29Gap
+4.71Yield
+2.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 35 | +5.03 | +16.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 26 | −3.29 | −18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.07 | +3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.91 | +79.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 32 | +4.22 | +13.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +3.54 | +39.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.81 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −6.84 | −44.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +2.55 | +45.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.91 | +79.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Villarreal · Away19 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | Girona · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.21 |
| M3 | Espanyol · Home28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.45 | −1.23 |
| M4 | Athletic Club · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.38 |
| M5 | Valencia · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +1.06 |
| M6 | Rayo Vallecano · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.14 |
| M7 | Celta · Away26 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.37 |
| M8 | Real Madrid · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.06 |
| M9 | Real Sociedad · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.70 |
| M10 | Leganés · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +1.46 |
| M11 | Real Betis · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.13 |
| M12 | Las Palmas · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +0.54 |
| M13 | Mallorca · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.02 |
| M14 | Alavés · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +2.83 |
| M15 | Real Valladolid · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +3.64 |
| M16 | Sevilla · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.36 |
| M17 | Getafe · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +5.00 |
| M18 | FC Barcelona · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +6.95 |
| M19 | Osasuna · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +7.58 |
| M20 | Leganés · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.11 | +5.47 |
| M21 | Villarreal · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +4.73 |
| M22 | Mallorca · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +5.58 |
| M23 | Real Madrid · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +5.54 |
| M24 | Celta · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +4.29 |
| M25 | Valencia · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +5.59 |
| M26 | Athletic Club · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +6.96 |
| M27 | Getafe · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +5.11 |
| M28 | FC Barcelona · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.92 |
| M29 | Espanyol · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.95 |
| M30 | Sevilla · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.37 |
| M31 | Real Valladolid · Home14 Apr 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.30 | +4.67 |
| M32 | Las Palmas · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | +2.66 |
| M33 | Rayo Vallecano · Home24 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +3.53 |
| M34 | Alavés · Away3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.87 |
| M35 | Real Sociedad · Home10 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.00 |
| M36 | Osasuna · Away15 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.37 |
| M37 | Real Betis · Home18 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.29 |
| M38 | Girona · Away25 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.71 |
| Total | 76 | +4.71 | |||