Points
42Points expected by the market
37.49Gap
+4.51Yield
+19.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.48 | −9.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.42 | −5.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 23 | +2.89 | +29.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.73 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.48 | −9.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.61 | +6.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 11 | +4.04 | +109.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −1.16 | −6.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Valladolid · Away19 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.10 |
| M2 | Real Sociedad · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.15 |
| M3 | Atlético de Madrid · Away28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.61 | −1.54 |
| M4 | Rayo Vallecano · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.10 |
| M5 | Alavés · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.80 |
| M6 | Real Madrid · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.24 | +1.56 |
| M7 | Villarreal · Home26 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.47 |
| M8 | Real Betis · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.18 |
| M9 | Mallorca · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.70 |
| M10 | Athletic Club · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.15 |
| M11 | Sevilla · Home25 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.10 |
| M12 | FC Barcelona · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.26 | −0.36 |
| M13 | Girona · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.14 |
| M14 | Celta · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.75 |
| M15 | Getafe · Away9 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.04 |
| M16 | Osasuna · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.38 |
| M17 | Valencia · Home18 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.83 |
| M18 | Las Palmas · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.86 |
| M19 | Leganés · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.51 |
| M20 | Real Valladolid · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −1.38 |
| M21 | Sevilla · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.22 |
| M22 | Real Madrid · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.53 | +1.31 |
| M23 | Real Sociedad · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.59 |
| M24 | Athletic Club · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.77 |
| M25 | Alavés · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.91 |
| M26 | Girona · Home10 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +2.77 |
| M27 | Mallorca · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.90 |
| M28 | Atlético de Madrid · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +2.13 |
| M29 | Rayo Vallecano · Away4 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +4.38 |
| M30 | Celta · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +6.62 |
| M31 | Getafe · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +8.24 |
| M32 | Valencia · Away22 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +8.25 |
| M33 | Villarreal · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | +7.67 |
| M34 | Real Betis · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +6.50 |
| M35 | Leganés · Away11 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +5.31 |
| M36 | FC Barcelona · Home15 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +4.77 |
| M37 | Osasuna · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.78 |
| M38 | Las Palmas · Home24 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.51 |
| Total | 42 | +4.51 | |||