Points
88Points expected by the market
81.73Gap
+6.27Yield
+13.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | 53 | +1.83 | +1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 29 | +1.07 | +6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.38 | +183.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 37 | −0.32 | −1.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.35 | −13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 16 | +2.15 | +9.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +2.41 | +14.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.38 | +183.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Valencia · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.18 |
| M2 | Athletic Club · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.15 |
| M3 | Rayo Vallecano · Away27 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.19 |
| M4 | Real Valladolid · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.67 |
| M5 | Girona · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.79 |
| M6 | Villarreal · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +6.03 |
| M7 | Getafe · Home25 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +6.58 |
| M8 | Osasuna · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.87 | +4.71 |
| M9 | Alavés · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +5.79 |
| M10 | Sevilla · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +6.40 |
| M11 | Real Madrid · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +8.33 |
| M12 | Espanyol · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.37 | +8.70 |
| M13 | Real Sociedad · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +6.93 |
| M14 | Celta · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | +6.04 |
| M15 | Las Palmas · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.63 | +3.41 |
| M16 | Mallorca · Away3 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.40 |
| M17 | Real Betis · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.09 | +3.31 |
| M18 | Leganés · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.66 | +0.65 |
| M19 | Atlético de Madrid · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.04 |
| M20 | Getafe · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −2.20 |
| M21 | Valencia · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.53 | −1.67 |
| M22 | Alavés · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −1.26 |
| M23 | Sevilla · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.43 |
| M24 | Rayo Vallecano · Home17 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.06 |
| M25 | Las Palmas · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +0.59 |
| M26 | Real Sociedad · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +1.15 |
| M27 | Atlético de Madrid · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.59 |
| M28 | Osasuna · Home27 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +3.05 |
| M29 | Girona · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +3.67 |
| M30 | Real Betis · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | +2.39 |
| M31 | Leganés · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.96 |
| M32 | Celta · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.56 | +3.51 |
| M33 | Mallorca · Home22 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +4.14 |
| M34 | Real Valladolid · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +4.81 |
| M35 | Real Madrid · Home11 May 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.25 | +6.06 |
| M36 | Espanyol · Away15 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +6.77 |
| M37 | Villarreal · Home18 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.88 | +4.89 |
| M38 | Athletic Club · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +6.27 |
| Total | 88 | +6.27 | |||