Points
42Points expected by the market
45.00Gap
−3.00Yield
−0.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.70 | −21.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −6.46 | −32.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 18 | +4.17 | +34.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.96 | −42.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −6.34 | −71.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.94 | +29.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +101.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.12 | +38.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +3.22 | +35.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletic Club · Away15 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.33 |
| M2 | Rayo Vallecano · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.10 |
| M3 | Real Sociedad · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.36 |
| M4 | Sevilla · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.46 |
| M5 | Real Betis · Away18 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.33 |
| M6 | Leganés · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.08 |
| M7 | FC Barcelona · Away25 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −3.47 |
| M8 | Alavés · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.96 |
| M9 | Osasuna · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.61 |
| M10 | Villarreal · Away20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −2.50 |
| M11 | Valencia · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −3.23 |
| M12 | Celta · Away4 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.23 |
| M13 | Girona · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.70 |
| M14 | Real Valladolid · Home22 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −4.71 |
| M15 | Real Madrid · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −5.17 |
| M16 | Espanyol · Home9 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −4.06 |
| M17 | Atlético de Madrid · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.51 |
| M18 | Mallorca · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.07 |
| M19 | Las Palmas · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.23 |
| M20 | FC Barcelona · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | −3.86 |
| M21 | Real Sociedad · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −1.72 |
| M22 | Sevilla · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.11 |
| M23 | Alavés · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.19 |
| M24 | Girona · Away14 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +1.90 |
| M25 | Real Betis · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.59 |
| M26 | Leganés · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.77 |
| M27 | Atlético de Madrid · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +1.37 |
| M28 | Osasuna · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.26 |
| M29 | Villarreal · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.07 |
| M30 | Real Valladolid · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.33 |
| M31 | Las Palmas · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.95 | +1.39 |
| M32 | Espanyol · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.13 |
| M33 | Real Madrid · Home23 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.60 |
| M34 | Rayo Vallecano · Away2 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.76 |
| M35 | Valencia · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.71 |
| M36 | Athletic Club · Home15 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.98 |
| M37 | Mallorca · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.15 |
| M38 | Celta · Home24 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.00 |
| Total | 42 | −3.00 | |||