Points
41Points expected by the market
53.09Gap
−12.09Yield
−41.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.57 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −2.02 | −20.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 16 | −6.71 | −38.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −4.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.57 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.11 | −29.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.63 | −52.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.81 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.09 | +72.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.08 | −32.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −3.12 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Betis · Away15 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.21 |
| M2 | Atlético de Madrid · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.86 |
| M3 | Osasuna · Home29 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +0.20 |
| M4 | Sevilla · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.74 |
| M5 | FC Barcelona · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.85 |
| M6 | Valencia · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.42 |
| M7 | Rayo Vallecano · Home25 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −1.37 |
| M8 | Celta · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.70 |
| M9 | Athletic Club · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.20 |
| M10 | Real Sociedad · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.56 |
| M11 | Las Palmas · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.86 |
| M12 | Leganés · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.83 |
| M13 | Getafe · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.03 |
| M14 | Espanyol · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.01 |
| M15 | Villarreal · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +1.12 |
| M16 | Real Madrid · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.20 |
| M17 | Mallorca · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.10 |
| M18 | Real Valladolid · Home20 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −0.41 |
| M19 | Alavés · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.11 |
| M20 | Sevilla · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.66 |
| M21 | Rayo Vallecano · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.91 |
| M22 | Las Palmas · Home3 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −1.04 |
| M23 | Athletic Club · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.87 |
| M24 | Getafe · Home14 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.66 |
| M25 | Real Madrid · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.10 |
| M26 | Celta · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −4.72 |
| M27 | Espanyol · Away10 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −5.26 |
| M28 | Valencia · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −6.01 |
| M29 | FC Barcelona · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −6.48 |
| M30 | Alavés · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −8.14 |
| M31 | Osasuna · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −9.39 |
| M32 | Real Betis · Home21 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −10.77 |
| M33 | Leganés · Away24 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −11.25 |
| M34 | Mallorca · Home5 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −9.96 |
| M35 | Villarreal · Home10 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −11.19 |
| M36 | Real Valladolid · Away13 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −10.10 |
| M37 | Real Sociedad · Away18 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −10.94 |
| M38 | Atlético de Madrid · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −12.09 |
| Total | 41 | −12.09 | |||