Points
32Points expected by the market
36.46Gap
−4.46Yield
+15.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.33 | +86.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 7 | −9.17 | −78.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 19 | +2.38 | +56.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.33 | +86.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 6 | −7.56 | −74.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.50 | −20.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | +2.88 | +88.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sevilla · Home16 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.38 |
| M2 | Leganés · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.55 |
| M3 | Real Madrid · Home29 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −1.05 |
| M4 | Alavés · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.86 |
| M5 | Athletic Club · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.87 |
| M6 | Osasuna · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.78 |
| M7 | Real Betis · Home26 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.86 |
| M8 | Villarreal · Away30 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.54 |
| M9 | Celta · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.56 |
| M10 | Valencia · Away21 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.09 | −3.48 |
| M11 | Girona · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.88 |
| M12 | Atlético de Madrid · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.37 |
| M13 | Rayo Vallecano · Away8 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.28 |
| M14 | Mallorca · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.62 |
| M15 | FC Barcelona · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.73 | +1.11 |
| M16 | Real Valladolid · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +2.11 |
| M17 | Real Sociedad · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.53 | +2.65 |
| M18 | Espanyol · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.98 |
| M19 | Getafe · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.49 |
| M20 | Real Madrid · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.29 | +2.20 |
| M21 | Osasuna · Home24 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.74 |
| M22 | Girona · Away3 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.09 |
| M23 | Villarreal · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.33 |
| M24 | Mallorca · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.52 |
| M25 | FC Barcelona · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −0.92 |
| M26 | Real Valladolid · Away28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.36 |
| M27 | Real Betis · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.83 |
| M28 | Alavés · Home14 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.16 |
| M29 | Celta · Away31 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −1.88 |
| M30 | Real Sociedad · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.09 |
| M31 | Getafe · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.88 |
| M32 | Atlético de Madrid · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +1.37 |
| M33 | Athletic Club · Away23 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +0.84 |
| M34 | Valencia · Home3 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.57 |
| M35 | Rayo Vallecano · Home9 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.96 |
| M36 | Sevilla · Away13 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.76 |
| M37 | Leganés · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.92 |
| M38 | Espanyol · Away24 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −4.46 |
| Total | 32 | −4.46 | |||