Points
40Points expected by the market
36.31Gap
+3.69Yield
+20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +4.45 | +32.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 19 | −1.43 | +16.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.01 | +22.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.51 | +20.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +122.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −0.92 | +14.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Osasuna · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.12 |
| M2 | Las Palmas · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.62 |
| M3 | Real Valladolid · Away28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | +1.56 |
| M4 | Mallorca · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.20 |
| M5 | Real Betis · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.55 |
| M6 | Athletic Club · Home19 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.55 |
| M7 | Getafe · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −1.46 |
| M8 | Rayo Vallecano · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.31 |
| M9 | Valencia · Home4 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.62 |
| M10 | Atlético de Madrid · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −2.16 |
| M11 | Celta · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −0.22 |
| M12 | Girona · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.00 |
| M13 | Sevilla · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Real Madrid · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.25 |
| M15 | Alavés · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.44 |
| M16 | Real Sociedad · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.37 |
| M17 | FC Barcelona · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.76 | +2.39 |
| M18 | Villarreal · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.44 |
| M19 | Espanyol · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +1.41 |
| M20 | Atlético de Madrid · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +3.77 |
| M21 | Athletic Club · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.51 | +4.27 |
| M22 | Rayo Vallecano · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.09 |
| M23 | Valencia · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.26 |
| M24 | Alavés · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | +2.17 |
| M25 | Real Sociedad · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | +1.47 |
| M26 | Getafe · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.19 |
| M27 | Celta · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +2.52 |
| M28 | Real Betis · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.50 |
| M29 | Real Madrid · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.34 | +1.16 |
| M30 | Osasuna · Home7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.78 |
| M31 | FC Barcelona · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | +0.36 |
| M32 | Mallorca · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.53 |
| M33 | Girona · Home24 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.33 |
| M34 | Sevilla · Away4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.56 |
| M35 | Espanyol · Home11 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.05 |
| M36 | Villarreal · Away14 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +1.58 |
| M37 | Las Palmas · Away18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.02 |
| M38 | Real Valladolid · Home24 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.69 |
| Total | 40 | +3.69 | |||