Points
48Points expected by the market
46.97Gap
+1.03Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.67 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.04 | +57.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −3.69 | −11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 13 | +0.01 | −15.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.67 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.04 | +57.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −5.86 | −48.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.29 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.17 | +67.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +0.30 | −3.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Madrid · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.47 |
| M2 | Osasuna · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.70 |
| M3 | Sevilla · Home27 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.24 |
| M4 | Leganés · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.46 |
| M5 | Villarreal · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.05 |
| M6 | Real Sociedad · Home17 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.63 |
| M7 | Real Betis · Away23 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.78 |
| M8 | Real Valladolid · Away27 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.30 |
| M9 | Espanyol · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Rayo Vallecano · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.04 |
| M11 | Athletic Club · Home28 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.59 |
| M12 | Alavés · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.46 |
| M13 | Atlético de Madrid · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.30 |
| M14 | Las Palmas · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.97 |
| M15 | Valencia · Home29 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.29 |
| M16 | FC Barcelona · Home3 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.76 | +3.53 |
| M17 | Celta · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.63 |
| M18 | Girona · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.26 |
| M19 | Getafe · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +6.18 |
| M20 | Villarreal · Away20 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +5.40 |
| M21 | Real Betis · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +3.77 |
| M22 | Atlético de Madrid · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +3.16 |
| M23 | Osasuna · Home10 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.59 |
| M24 | Las Palmas · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.72 |
| M25 | Sevilla · Away24 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +3.77 |
| M26 | Alavés · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.28 |
| M27 | Athletic Club · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.50 |
| M28 | Espanyol · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +4.65 |
| M29 | Valencia · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.68 |
| M30 | Celta · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.35 |
| M31 | Real Sociedad · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.38 |
| M32 | Leganés · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +3.51 |
| M33 | FC Barcelona · Away22 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.46 | +3.06 |
| M34 | Girona · Away5 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +2.06 |
| M35 | Real Valladolid · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +2.72 |
| M36 | Real Madrid · Away14 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +2.12 |
| M37 | Getafe · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.64 |
| M38 | Rayo Vallecano · Away24 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | +1.03 |
| Total | 48 | +1.03 | |||